Sha Tin · 2023-12-17 · 14:36
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON Closed strongly B/TT 1.49.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 2 | 7.5 | N |
| 2 | 0 | TURTLE AGAIN Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 9 | 6.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | DIAMOND WINNER Closed strongly H A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 13 | 22.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | GOLDEN FAIRY B- M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 1 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION Closed strongly TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 6 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SMART BEAUTY B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY HERO B J McDonald · M Newnham | J McDonald | M Newnham | 8 | 6.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | GREEN LASER Closed strongly B-/PC1/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 12 | 32.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CLASSIC ARCHI B/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 7 | 9.9 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA B K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 7.6 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | GOLD STERLING TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 5 | 10.0 | 26-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY Led early B/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 11 | 35.0 | 29 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-17 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. COLOURFUL BARON, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by J Richards, won by N, with TURTLE AGAIN second and DIAMOND WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 6.0 favourite TURTLE AGAIN finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON | 16.8% | 5.96 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 14.6% | 6.87 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY HERO | 10.7% | 9.36 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | SMART BEAUTY | 9.7% | 10.34 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | TURTLE AGAIN | 7.5% | 13.27 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 7.4% | 13.60 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLD STERLING | 7.1% | 14.06 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 6.7% | 14.83 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA | 6.4% | 15.54 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | GREEN LASER | 5.4% | 18.62 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 3.3% | 30.19 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | DIAMOND WINNER | 2.2% | 44.85 | 3 |
| 13 | 0 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 2.2% | 45.02 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 75.5
PLACE
2 24.5
7 28
9 69.5
QUINELLA
2,7 346.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 124.5
2,9 212.5
7,9 408
FORECAST
7,2 707
TIERCE
7,2,9 12,734
TRIO
2,7,9 1,809
FIRST 4
2,7,9,13 11,014
QUARTET
7,2,9,13 231,418
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
9,11,14/2,7,9 225,203
3RD DOUBLE
9/2 90
9/7 774.5