Sha Tin · 2023-12-17 · 08:30
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-17 was Class 2 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. INVINCIBLE SAGE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 3/4, with CARROLL STREET second and WONDER KIT third. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | INVINCIBLE SAGE 0.57.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 2.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | CARROLL STREET SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 8.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | WONDER KIT CP L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 4 | 7.6 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | WHIZZ KID B/TT J McDonald · A S Cruz | J McDonald | A S Cruz | 10 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | WE ARE HERO V/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 1 | 40.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | DREAM WINNER CP1 C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 2 | 3.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | ASTROLOGER SR K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 111.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | KURPANY P-/B2/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 6 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | PING HAI GALAXY A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 24.0 | 5 |
| — | 10 | IMA SINGLE MAN Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 43.2% | 2.32 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | WONDER KIT | 17.2% | 5.81 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | DREAM WINNER | 10.7% | 9.37 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | WHIZZ KID | 7.7% | 13.05 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | CARROLL STREET | 6.4% | 15.55 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | KURPANY | 6.1% | 16.30 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | PING HAI GALAXY | 4.3% | 23.04 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | WE ARE HERO | 2.7% | 36.82 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | ASTROLOGER | 1.7% | 59.97 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 22
PLACE
6 18.5
7 14
9 19
QUINELLA
6,7 79
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 30.5
6,9 64
7,9 28.5
FORECAST
7,6 117
TIERCE
7,6,9 397
TRIO
6,7,9 124
FIRST 4
3,6,7,9 329
QUARTET
7,6,9,3 3,026
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
2/6 48
2/7,10 115.5