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Happy Valley · 2024-04-10 · 12:36

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course B 12 runners

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-04-10 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. E UNIVERSE, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by K L Man, won by N, with DOUBLE BINGO second and HAPPY FEELING third. The 3.9 favourite EASY SNIP finished 5th.

Result

Official · 1.10.10
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 E UNIVERSE TT 1.10.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · K L Man 5 9.3 N
2 6 DOUBLE BINGO L Ferraris · Y S Tsui 4 78.0 N
3 10 HAPPY FEELING CP-/B2/TT B Thompson · J Richards 1 34.0 2
4 11 TACTICAL COMMAND B A Badel · M Newnham 12 16.0 2-1/4
5 3 EASY SNIP B C L Chau · T P Yung 2 3.9 2-1/2
6 12 WOODFIRE CHAMP TT M L Yeung · C W Chang 6 17.0 3-1/4
7 4 HOSS B/TT K Teetan · P C Ng 7 15.0 3-1/2
8 8 SUPER EAGLE TT K De Melo · W Y So 8 11.0 5
9 2 STREET CONQUEROR B1/TT Z Purton · C S Shum 11 5.9 5-1/4
10 9 KING OBERON H- A Atzeni · K H Ting 3 7.3 5-1/2
11 1 HAPPY GOLF H Bowman · F C Lor 10 8.2 8-1/4
12 7 REGENT GLORY B H Bentley · D A Hayes 9 9.2 8-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. E UNIVERSE2. DOUBLE BINGO+0.05L3. HAPPY FEELING+2L4. TACTICAL COMMAND+2.25L5. EASY SNIP+2.5L6. WOODFIRE CHAMP+3.25L7. HOSS+3.5L8. SUPER EAGLE+5L9. STREET CONQUEROR+5.25L10. KING OBERON+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick HAPPY GOLF (14.3%) finished 11th — the winner E UNIVERSE was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 HAPPY GOLF 14.3% 7.00 11
2 8 SUPER EAGLE 12.9% 7.74 8
3 2 STREET CONQUEROR 11.7% 8.54 9
4 3 EASY SNIP 10.2% 9.79 5
5 9 KING OBERON 10.2% 9.81 10
6 7 REGENT GLORY 9.4% 10.66 12
7 11 TACTICAL COMMAND 7.9% 12.65 4
8 5 E UNIVERSE 7.5% 13.35 1
9 4 HOSS 5.6% 17.80 7
10 6 DOUBLE BINGO 4.4% 22.70 2
11 12 WOODFIRE CHAMP 4.3% 23.34 6
12 10 HAPPY FEELING 1.6% 63.25 3
HAPPY GOLFSUPER EAGLESTREET CONQUEROREASY SNIPKING OBERONREGENT GLORYTACTICAL COMMANDE UNIVERSE — wonHOSSDOUBLE BINGOWOODFIRE CHAMPHAPPY FEELING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 93

PLACE

5 27

6 188.5

10 96

QUINELLA

5,6 3,113

QUINELLA PLACE

5,6 893

5,10 496.5

6,10 2,009.5

FORECAST

5,6 6,028

TIERCE

5,6,10 72,937

TRIO

5,6,10 14,551

FIRST 4

5,6,10,11 84,973

QUARTET

5,6,10,11 1,928,233

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

2/5 752.5

2/6 942