Happy Valley · 2024-04-10 · 21:46
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CAPITAL LEGEND Closed strongly TT 1.41.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 3 | 4.3 | N |
| 2 | 9 | FOREMOST TEDDY B/TT K De Melo · C S Shum | K De Melo | C S Shum | 6 | 42.0 | N |
| 3 | 4 | GALLANT VALOUR Closed strongly B-/PC1/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 1 | 4.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | MASTER TORNADO Led early PC/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY Closed strongly K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 5 | 3.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | I CAN B-/H/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 9 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | HARRY'S HERO H/XB M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 12 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | WINNING SEVEN Closed strongly XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 8 | 47.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | WIN WIN FIGHTER Closed strongly B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 25.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | D STAR B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 6.7 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | CHATER GOLD Closed strongly CP B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 11 | 59.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | DRAGON PRIDE A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 10 | 27.0 | 11 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-04-10 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CAPITAL LEGEND, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with FOREMOST TEDDY second and GALLANT VALOUR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite JOYFUL PROSPERITY finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GALLANT VALOUR | 31.0% | 3.23 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 20.5% | 4.87 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 10.4% | 9.58 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | D STAR | 8.2% | 12.14 | 10 |
| 5 | 6 | MASTER TORNADO | 8.1% | 12.32 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | I CAN | 5.2% | 19.41 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 3.6% | 27.72 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | DRAGON PRIDE | 3.4% | 29.01 | 12 |
| 9 | 7 | HARRY'S HERO | 3.3% | 29.86 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | FOREMOST TEDDY | 2.3% | 42.74 | 2 |
| 11 | 8 | CHATER GOLD | 1.9% | 51.55 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | WINNING SEVEN | 1.9% | 53.04 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 43.5
PLACE
2 16.5
4 17.5
9 100
QUINELLA
2,9 912
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 41.5
2,9 262
4,9 263.5
FORECAST
2,9 1,630
TIERCE
2,9,4 11,184
TRIO
2,4,9 1,188
FIRST 4
2,4,6,9 2,759
QUARTET
2,9,4,6 84,523
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,9,11/2,4,9 272,421
6TH DOUBLE
9/2 243
9/9 677
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,9,11/1,9,11/Any Combination 145,647