Happy Valley · 2024-04-10 · 16:51
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2024-04-10 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SPORTS LEGEND, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by 3/4, with COLOURFUL EMPEROR second and SWEET BRIAR third. The 3.7 favourite COLOURFUL EMPEROR finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SPORTS LEGEND B/TT 1.09.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 4.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | SWEET BRIAR B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 1 | 3.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 6 | 33.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SOLAR PARTNER TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 5 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | HEALTHY HEALTHY PC/TT B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 4 | 8.8 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | NEBRASKAN PC1 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 10 | 24.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | ATOMIC FORCE C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 18.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | ASTROLOGER H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 8 | 35.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | KING ECCELLENTE SR/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 12 | 13.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | MAGIC PHOENIX TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 2 | 49.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | O'LINER B1/TT L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 7 | 48.0 | 42-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SWEET BRIAR | 32.3% | 3.09 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | SPORTS LEGEND | 20.7% | 4.84 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR | 13.3% | 7.52 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | ASTROLOGER | 6.8% | 14.63 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 6.8% | 14.77 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | SOLAR PARTNER | 4.3% | 23.52 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | KING ECCELLENTE | 4.0% | 24.70 | 10 |
| 8 | 3 | ATOMIC FORCE | 3.5% | 28.37 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | NEBRASKAN | 2.8% | 35.97 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | O'LINER | 2.6% | 37.97 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | MAGIC PHOENIX | 1.4% | 69.44 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 1.4% | 70.59 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 42
PLACE
2 15.5
8 18
9 15
QUINELLA
2,8 102.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 42.5
2,9 31.5
8,9 46
FORECAST
8,2 162
TIERCE
8,2,9 408
TRIO
2,8,9 80
FIRST 4
2,6,8,9 695
QUARTET
8,2,9,6 8,396
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
2/8/2 760
2/8/8 3,478
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,12/2,8,9 45,255
8TH DOUBLE
8/2 164.5
8/8 636.5
SIX UP
1/1/9/2/8/8 2,392,099
1,12/1,9/9,11/2,9/3,8/2,8 17,028
4 [C S Shum] —
1 [Z Purton] —