Happy Valley · 2024-04-10 · 16:51
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-04-10 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN LINK, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with HERCULES second and TELECOM SPEED third. The 2.5 favourite WINNING HEART finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GOLDEN LINK 1.10.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 5 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | HERCULES B/TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 11 | 39.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | TELECOM SPEED H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 9 | 16.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | WINNING HEART V/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 4 | 2.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | MR VALIANT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 1 | 7.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | GREAT ACHIEVER C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL B/H/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 6 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | SAME TO YOU H/P/TT B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 8 | 58.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | FALCON COURT TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 12 | 81.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | MOLLY'S WITNESS P/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 10 | 150.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 | SAVVY CHIC B-/V1/TT B Avdulla · F C Lor | B Avdulla | F C Lor | 3 | 6.2 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | CERVIN TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 7 | 104.0 | 11-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | WINNING HEART | 28.6% | 3.50 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | SAVVY CHIC | 13.2% | 7.60 | 11 |
| 3 | 3 | MR VALIANT | 12.2% | 8.16 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | GOLDEN LINK | 10.8% | 9.24 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 9.5% | 10.56 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | TELECOM SPEED | 8.0% | 12.42 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | GREAT ACHIEVER | 6.9% | 14.40 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | HERCULES | 6.0% | 16.58 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | CERVIN | 1.8% | 55.61 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | FALCON COURT | 1.2% | 84.74 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | SAME TO YOU | 0.9% | 105.89 | 8 |
| 12 | 5 | MOLLY'S WITNESS | 0.8% | 130.27 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 39.5
PLACE
1 41
9 15
11 64.5
QUINELLA
9,11 766
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 83
1,11 351.5
9,11 209
FORECAST
9,11 951
TIERCE
9,11,1 8,598
TRIO
1,9,11 1,639
FIRST 4
1,6,9,11 634
QUARTET
9,11,1,6 20,811
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
1/9 2,569.5
1/11 1,259