Happy Valley · 2024-04-10 · 16:51
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-04-10 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. IVY LEAGUE, ridden by K De Melo and trained by D J Whyte, won by NOSE, with SIMPLY MAVERICK second and CHAIN OF GOLD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite SIMPLY MAVERICK finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | IVY LEAGUE Closed strongly SR/XB/TT 1.41.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 3 | 8.7 | NOSE |
| 2 | 3 | SIMPLY MAVERICK Closed strongly Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 5 | 2.6 | NOSE |
| 3 | 12 | CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly CP-/H/TT L Hewitson · W K Mo | L Hewitson | W K Mo | 12 | 44.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | EIGHTEEN PALMS B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 8 | 29.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | HAMERON Closed strongly TT H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 9 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | RED MAJESTY B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SHOW RESPECT B/XB H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 2 | 4.3 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | SMILING TIME V/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 4 | 45.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | WINNING DRAGON B/H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 1 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | LOVERO Led early TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 9.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | TRADITION B M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 10 | 129.0 | 4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SHOW RESPECT | 20.3% | 4.94 | 8 |
| 2 | 3 | SIMPLY MAVERICK | 15.9% | 6.29 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | RED MAJESTY | 10.7% | 9.35 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | LOVERO | 10.5% | 9.55 | 11 |
| 5 | 2 | WINNING DRAGON | 9.3% | 10.70 | 10 |
| 6 | 4 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 9.0% | 11.14 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | EIGHTEEN PALMS | 6.8% | 14.65 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | HAMERON | 6.7% | 14.92 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | IVY LEAGUE | 5.4% | 18.36 | 1 |
| 10 | 11 | SMILING TIME | 2.7% | 36.37 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 2.0% | 49.55 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | TRADITION | 0.6% | 158.08 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 87
PLACE
3 12.5
8 32.5
12 86.5
QUINELLA
3,8 160.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 65
3,12 181
8,12 598
FORECAST
8,3 488
TIERCE
8,3,12 10,617
TRIO
3,8,12 1,552
FIRST 4
3,4,8,12 5,571
QUARTET
8,3,12,4 141,910
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
2/3 29.5
2/8 674