Happy Valley · 2024-04-10 · 22:18
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | IVY LEAGUE Closed strongly SR/XB/TT 1.41.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 3 | 8.7 | NOSE |
| 2 | 3 | SIMPLY MAVERICK Closed strongly Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 5 | 2.6 | NOSE |
| 3 | 12 | CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly CP-/H/TT L Hewitson · W K Mo | L Hewitson | W K Mo | 12 | 44.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | EIGHTEEN PALMS B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 8 | 29.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | HAMERON Closed strongly TT H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 9 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | RED MAJESTY B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SHOW RESPECT B/XB H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 2 | 4.3 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | SMILING TIME V/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 4 | 45.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | WINNING DRAGON B/H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 1 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | LOVERO Led early TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 9.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | TRADITION B M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 10 | 129.0 | 4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-04-10 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. IVY LEAGUE, ridden by K De Melo and trained by D J Whyte, won by NOSE, with SIMPLY MAVERICK second and CHAIN OF GOLD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite SIMPLY MAVERICK finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SHOW RESPECT | 20.3% | 4.94 | 8 |
| 2 | 3 | SIMPLY MAVERICK | 15.9% | 6.29 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | RED MAJESTY | 10.7% | 9.35 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | LOVERO | 10.5% | 9.55 | 11 |
| 5 | 2 | WINNING DRAGON | 9.3% | 10.70 | 10 |
| 6 | 4 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 9.0% | 11.14 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | EIGHTEEN PALMS | 6.8% | 14.65 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | HAMERON | 6.7% | 14.92 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | IVY LEAGUE | 5.4% | 18.36 | 1 |
| 10 | 11 | SMILING TIME | 2.7% | 36.37 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 2.0% | 49.55 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | TRADITION | 0.6% | 158.08 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 87
PLACE
3 12.5
8 32.5
12 86.5
QUINELLA
3,8 160.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 65
3,12 181
8,12 598
FORECAST
8,3 488
TIERCE
8,3,12 10,617
TRIO
3,8,12 1,552
FIRST 4
3,4,8,12 5,571
QUARTET
8,3,12,4 141,910
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
2/3 29.5
2/8 674