Happy Valley · 2024-04-10 · 19:41
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MOMENTS IN TIME Closed strongly TT 1.39.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 3.6 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | OUTGATE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 3.3 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 4 | 6.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 1 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 2 | 3.7 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | RISING FROM ASHES Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 3 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | KEEFY B- K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 39.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | FIND MY LOVE TT A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 6 | 14.0 | 5 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-04-10 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. MOMENTS IN TIME, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with OUTGATE second and MR ASCENDENCY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite OUTGATE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 25.7% | 3.90 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | GALAXY WITNESS | 24.0% | 4.17 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | OUTGATE | 21.4% | 4.68 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | MR ASCENDENCY | 10.2% | 9.81 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | FIND MY LOVE | 7.3% | 13.73 | 8 |
| 6 | 1 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 5.3% | 18.86 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | KEEFY | 4.3% | 23.39 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | RISING FROM ASHES | 1.9% | 52.83 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 36
PLACE
2 20.5
3 13.5
8 13
QUINELLA
3,8 58
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 44.5
2,8 42
3,8 27
FORECAST
3,8 147
TIERCE
3,8,2 471
TRIO
2,3,8 102
FIRST 4
1,2,3,8 101
QUARTET
3,8,2,1 1,673
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,10/2,3,8 1,070,131
2ND DOUBLE
5/3 338
5/8 53