Happy Valley · 2024-04-10 · 20:41
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY Closed strongly TT 1.40.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 12 | 38.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | SURE JOYFUL Closed strongly TT1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 9 | 18.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | ATOMIC BEAUTY Closed strongly V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | MR ALADDIN Closed strongly B H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 5 | 6.2 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | STURDY RUBY Closed strongly CP/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 7 | 7.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | WINDICATOR FAMILY B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 1 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | KEEN UNITY Closed strongly V/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 9.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | DEVAS TWELVE TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 3.5 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | NOT A FEW Closed strongly CP/XB K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 11 | 142.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | GALLANT CROWN B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 10 | 22.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | WOOD ON FIRE TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 8 | 32.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | GOOD LUCK WIN Led early B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 94.0 | 10-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-04-10 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. GLORIOUS JOURNEY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with SURE JOYFUL second and ATOMIC BEAUTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite DEVAS TWELVE finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | DEVAS TWELVE | 28.7% | 3.49 | 8 |
| 2 | 10 | MR ALADDIN | 15.7% | 6.37 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 13.4% | 7.49 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | STURDY RUBY | 11.5% | 8.69 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | KEEN UNITY | 7.4% | 13.56 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | SURE JOYFUL | 7.0% | 14.30 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 5.0% | 20.18 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | GALLANT CROWN | 4.4% | 22.85 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | WOOD ON FIRE | 3.2% | 31.64 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 2.6% | 38.43 | 1 |
| 11 | 4 | NOT A FEW | 0.8% | 126.42 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | GOOD LUCK WIN | 0.5% | 199.80 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 387
PLACE
1 87.5
9 43.5
11 14.5
QUINELLA
1,9 1,747
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 486
1,11 235.5
9,11 99
FORECAST
1,9 3,500
TIERCE
1,9,11 16,249
TRIO
1,9,11 2,527
FIRST 4
1,9,10,11 3,557
QUARTET
1,9,11,10 127,353
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
3/1/1 2,346
3/1/9 246
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,12/1,9,11 178,738
4TH DOUBLE
1/1 626
1/9 63