Happy Valley · 2024-04-10 · 16:51
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2024-04-10 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. COPARTNER PRANCE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/4, with MY INTELLIGENT second and SPEEDY SMARTIE third. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | COPARTNER PRANCE XB 1.10.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 6 | 1.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | MY INTELLIGENT V/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 7.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | SPEEDY SMARTIE TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 23.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | TATTENHAM CP K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 10 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | JOYFUL LIFE CP-/B1/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | ROARING BEBE XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 4 | 50.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | SKY SONG B/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 5 | 7.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | SPEEDY CHARIOT B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 24.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | PHILOS H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 47.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | WIN SPEED B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 2 | 52.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | FLYING DRAGON XB/V2 K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 11 | 63.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | COSMO NAVIGATOR B A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 8 | 39.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 36.2% | 2.76 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 11.9% | 8.41 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | MY INTELLIGENT | 10.2% | 9.84 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | TATTENHAM | 8.6% | 11.68 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | SKY SONG | 7.4% | 13.45 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | JOYFUL LIFE | 6.6% | 15.11 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | FLYING DRAGON | 5.9% | 17.05 | 11 |
| 8 | 4 | WIN SPEED | 3.9% | 25.85 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | COSMO NAVIGATOR | 3.0% | 33.45 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | SPEEDY CHARIOT | 2.6% | 38.69 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | ROARING BEBE | 2.4% | 41.77 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | PHILOS | 1.4% | 72.98 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 16
PLACE
1 10.1
7 43.5
12 18.5
QUINELLA
1,12 56.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 67
1,12 24
7,12 145.5
FORECAST
1,12 76
TIERCE
1,12,7 757
TRIO
1,7,12 249
FIRST 4
1,7,10,12 700
QUARTET
1,12,7,10 6,642
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
3/1 71.5
3/12 59.5