Sha Tin · 2024-09-15
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-15 was Class 3 over 1400m. SUNLIGHT POWER, ridden by C L Chau and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2, with FORTUNATE SON second and MIGHTY STEED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly CP/H 1.21.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 9 | 2.4 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | FORTUNATE SON Closed strongly B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 12 | 34.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | MIGHTY STEED Closed strongly M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 14 | 66.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | LO PAN SPIRIT B H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 11 | 7.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | SUPER LOVE DRAGON Closed strongly TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 5 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | GREENWICH TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 10 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | THE HEIR Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 7.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | STAR MAC Closed strongly CP L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 8 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | SOLEIL FIGHTER XB K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 3 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | FUN TOGETHER CP/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 7 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | PRAY FOR MIR M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 2 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | BEAUTY GLORY Led early CP/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 13 | 24.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 1 | SWEET ENCOUNTER H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 1 | 24.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | MASSIVE ACTION SR/V P N Wong · F C Lor | P N Wong | F C Lor | 6 | 24.0 | 15 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 17.6% | 5.68 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | LO PAN SPIRIT | 13.0% | 7.71 | 4 |
| 3 | 10 | THE HEIR | 10.3% | 9.69 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | BEAUTY GLORY | 9.4% | 10.60 | 12 |
| 5 | 3 | STAR MAC | 8.3% | 12.10 | 8 |
| 6 | 9 | PRAY FOR MIR | 8.0% | 12.50 | 11 |
| 7 | 1 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 6.8% | 14.65 | 13 |
| 8 | 11 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 5.7% | 17.56 | 9 |
| 9 | 13 | GREENWICH | 5.3% | 18.77 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | FUN TOGETHER | 5.1% | 19.50 | 10 |
| 11 | 14 | SUPER LOVE DRAGON | 4.1% | 24.31 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | FORTUNATE SON | 4.0% | 24.92 | 2 |
| 13 | 8 | MASSIVE ACTION | 1.6% | 61.48 | 14 |
| 14 | 12 | MIGHTY STEED | 0.7% | 147.74 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 24
PLACE
2 11.5
5 87.5
12 156
QUINELLA
2,5 412
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 149
2,12 290.5
5,12 1,531.5
FORECAST
2,5 583
TIERCE
2,5,12 15,671
TRIO
2,5,12 5,493
FIRST 4
2,5,6,12 8,693
QUARTET
2,5,12,6 140,319
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
6/4/2 954
6/4/5 2,378
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,6/2,5,12 1,450,469
9TH DOUBLE
4/2 101.5
4/5 248
SIX UP
6,12/7,11/4,8/1,6/4,6/2,5 15,271
1 [Z Purton] —
1 [P C Ng] —