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Sha Tin · 2024-09-15

Race 6

Class 4 1200m 12 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-15 was Class 4 over 1200m. MR ENERGIA, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-1/4, with CRAZY TREASURE second and REGENT GLORY third. The 3.1 favourite CRAZY TREASURE finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.08.95
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 MR ENERGIA B1 1.08.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D J Hall 11 15.0 1-1/4
2 11 CRAZY TREASURE B M Chadwick · M Newnham 6 3.1 1-1/4
3 4 REGENT GLORY B K Teetan · D A Hayes 8 6.4 3
4 12 SONIC BOOM TT Y L Chung · W K Mo 5 12.0 4-3/4
5 10 SKY SONG TT B Thompson · C Fownes 10 43.0 5-1/4
6 6 ROBOT KNIGHT CP/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng 12 11.0 5-1/2
7 9 HERO STAR TT P N Wong · K L Man 9 17.0 7
8 3 SHANGHAI STYLE B/TT K H Chan · C S Shum 7 6.7 9-1/4
9 2 WRITTEN CASA V-/TT B Avdulla · J Richards 3 87.0 10
10 1 AMAZING FUN H/TT Z Purton · C H Yip 1 5.1 11-1/4
11 5 FORTUNE WHISKEY H/P H T Mo · C W Chang 4 109.0 11-1/4
12 8 STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT K De Melo · W Y So 2 17.0 11-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MR ENERGIA2. CRAZY TREASURE+1.25L3. REGENT GLORY+3L4. SONIC BOOM+4.75L5. SKY SONG+5.25L6. ROBOT KNIGHT+5.5L7. HERO STAR+7L8. SHANGHAI STYLE+9.25L9. WRITTEN CASA+10L10. AMAZING FUN+11.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick AMAZING FUN (39.3%) finished 10th — the winner MR ENERGIA was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 AMAZING FUN 39.3% 2.54 10
2 6 ROBOT KNIGHT 11.0% 9.07 6
3 11 CRAZY TREASURE 10.5% 9.53 2
4 12 SONIC BOOM 8.4% 11.90 4
5 3 SHANGHAI STYLE 6.8% 14.71 8
6 8 STRIVE FOR GLORY 6.6% 15.04 12
7 4 REGENT GLORY 5.4% 18.49 3
8 9 HERO STAR 4.0% 25.20 7
9 10 SKY SONG 3.6% 27.86 5
10 7 MR ENERGIA 1.6% 63.54 1
11 5 FORTUNE WHISKEY 1.4% 72.30 11
12 2 WRITTEN CASA 1.4% 72.44 9
AMAZING FUNROBOT KNIGHTCRAZY TREASURESONIC BOOMSHANGHAI STYLESTRIVE FOR GLORYREGENT GLORYHERO STARSKY SONGMR ENERGIA — wonFORTUNE WHISKEYWRITTEN CASA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 159

PLACE

4 20

7 44.5

11 14

QUINELLA

7,11 223

QUINELLA PLACE

4,7 172.5

4,11 44

7,11 78

FORECAST

7,11 556

TIERCE

7,11,4 3,767

TRIO

4,7,11 564

FIRST 4

4,7,11,12 1,216

QUARTET

7,11,4,12 36,745

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,6,12/4,7,11 237,687

5TH DOUBLE

12/7 8,822

12/11 456.5

TRIPLE TRIO

2,3,13/1,6,12/4,7,11 17,428,965

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,3,13/1,6,12/Any Combination 32,015