Sha Tin · 2024-09-15
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | CHARMANDER Closed strongly V 1.22.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 12 | 3.3 | HD |
| 2 | 2 | PERFECT PEACH Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 4 | 5.2 | HD |
| 3 | 3 | ISLAND GOLDEN Led early TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 13 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | BEAU GOSSE B/XB C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 11 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 5 | 7.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | SO AWESOME Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 6 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | GO HERO B/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 9.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | CERVIN TT H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 2 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | COOL BLUE Closed strongly V/TT C Y Ho · W K Mo | C Y Ho | W K Mo | 9 | 29.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | CALIFORNIA ICON TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 34.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | CIRCUIT BLAZING H-/P-/TT- H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 1 | 21.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | LUCKY QUALITY V-/TT- L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 10 | 32.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 12 | SOARING TOWER B-/TT- P N Wong · C H Yip | P N Wong | C H Yip | 8 | 16.0 | 30-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-15 was Class 5 over 1400m. CHARMANDER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by HD, with PERFECT PEACH second and ISLAND GOLDEN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | CHARMANDER | 16.5% | 6.05 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | PERFECT PEACH | 14.7% | 6.79 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | MEDIC ELITE | 11.0% | 9.06 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | GO HERO | 10.2% | 9.82 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | SOARING TOWER | 8.9% | 11.19 | 13 |
| 6 | 10 | COOL BLUE | 8.3% | 12.08 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 6.1% | 16.50 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | SO AWESOME | 6.0% | 16.69 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | CERVIN | 5.7% | 17.48 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | LUCKY QUALITY | 4.3% | 23.20 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | BEAU GOSSE | 4.1% | 24.31 | 4 |
| 12 | 8 | CALIFORNIA ICON | 2.2% | 45.78 | 10 |
| 13 | 1 | CIRCUIT BLAZING | 1.9% | 51.83 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 33.5
PLACE
2 19.5
3 40
13 17.5
QUINELLA
2,13 130.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 182
2,13 54
3,13 101.5
FORECAST
13,2 239
TIERCE
13,2,3 2,614
TRIO
2,3,13 712
FIRST 4
2,3,7,13 2,817
QUARTET
13,2,3,7 37,153
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,9/2,3,13 26,327
3RD DOUBLE
4/2 11
4/13 109