Sha Tin · 2024-09-15
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DEVAS TWELVE Closed strongly TT 1.22.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 5.2 | HD |
| 2 | 8 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS Closed strongly B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 10.0 | HD |
| 3 | 3 | SATIRICAL GLORY Closed strongly SR1/XB1 L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 2 | 18.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | CHATER GOLD Closed strongly CP H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 1 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | MISSION VOICE B L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 5.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY TT P N Wong · C S Shum | P N Wong | C S Shum | 3 | 51.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | STERLING WONGCHOY Closed strongly SR/XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 8 | 25.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | MISTER FOX Closed strongly CP1 B Thompson · D J Hall | B Thompson | D J Hall | 9 | 93.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | LUCKY IMPACT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 6 | 3.1 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | TOP PEAK Led early TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 5.5 | 17-1/4 |
| — | 7 | MILES AWAY M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-15 was Class 4 over 1400m. DEVAS TWELVE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by HD, with DRAGON FOUR SEAS second and SATIRICAL GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite LUCKY IMPACT finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TOP PEAK | 22.1% | 4.53 | 10 |
| 2 | 4 | DEVAS TWELVE | 19.7% | 5.08 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | LUCKY IMPACT | 14.6% | 6.85 | 9 |
| 4 | 5 | MISSION VOICE | 13.5% | 7.41 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 12.1% | 8.28 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | CHATER GOLD | 10.5% | 9.48 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 3.3% | 29.88 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | STERLING WONGCHOY | 2.0% | 49.07 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY | 1.6% | 62.75 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | MISTER FOX | 0.6% | 176.67 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 52.5
PLACE
3 44
4 18.5
8 31.5
QUINELLA
4,8 245.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 132
3,8 238
4,8 82.5
FORECAST
4,8 511
TIERCE
4,8,3 5,638
TRIO
3,4,8 1,460
FIRST 4
3,4,8,9 1,904
QUARTET
4,8,3,9 44,306
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
7/4 1,299.5
7/8 549