Sha Tin · 2024-09-15
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-15 was Class 4 over 1400m. DEVAS TWELVE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by HD, with DRAGON FOUR SEAS second and SATIRICAL GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite LUCKY IMPACT finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DEVAS TWELVE Closed strongly TT 1.22.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 5.2 | HD |
| 2 | 8 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS Closed strongly B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 10.0 | HD |
| 3 | 3 | SATIRICAL GLORY Closed strongly SR1/XB1 L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 2 | 18.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | CHATER GOLD Closed strongly CP H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 1 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | MISSION VOICE B L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 5.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY TT P N Wong · C S Shum | P N Wong | C S Shum | 3 | 51.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | STERLING WONGCHOY Closed strongly SR/XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 8 | 25.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | MISTER FOX Closed strongly CP1 B Thompson · D J Hall | B Thompson | D J Hall | 9 | 93.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | LUCKY IMPACT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 6 | 3.1 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | TOP PEAK Led early TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 5.5 | 17-1/4 |
| — | 7 | MILES AWAY M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TOP PEAK | 22.1% | 4.53 | 10 |
| 2 | 4 | DEVAS TWELVE | 19.7% | 5.08 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | LUCKY IMPACT | 14.6% | 6.85 | 9 |
| 4 | 5 | MISSION VOICE | 13.5% | 7.41 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 12.1% | 8.28 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | CHATER GOLD | 10.5% | 9.48 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 3.3% | 29.88 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | STERLING WONGCHOY | 2.0% | 49.07 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY | 1.6% | 62.75 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | MISTER FOX | 0.6% | 176.67 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 52.5
PLACE
3 44
4 18.5
8 31.5
QUINELLA
4,8 245.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 132
3,8 238
4,8 82.5
FORECAST
4,8 511
TIERCE
4,8,3 5,638
TRIO
3,4,8 1,460
FIRST 4
3,4,8,9 1,904
QUARTET
4,8,3,9 44,306
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
7/4 1,299.5
7/8 549