Sha Tin · 2024-09-15
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GALE SAGA Closed strongly B 1.21.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 8 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | HO HO STAR Closed strongly H Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 3 | 1.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | DRAGON DELIGHT B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 4 | 6.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | VERBIER Closed strongly B A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 1 | 26.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | THE KHAN Closed strongly H/SR H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 10 | 9.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | TSUEN WAN GLORY Led early TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 11 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | SUPER JOY Closed strongly B/XB/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 2 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | VULCANUS B- K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 12 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | MERCHANT PRINCE Closed strongly V/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 9 | 96.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | THE CONCENTRATION PC L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 5 | 13.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | CHATEAU LE PECHE B C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 7 | 31.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | EXCELLENT DADDY TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 6 | 53.0 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-15 was Class 5 over 1400m. GALE SAGA, ridden by M F Poon and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-1/4, with HO HO STAR second and DRAGON DELIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.8 favourite HO HO STAR finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | HO HO STAR | 38.2% | 2.62 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 12.4% | 8.09 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | THE KHAN | 9.2% | 10.87 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | THE CONCENTRATION | 8.9% | 11.27 | 10 |
| 5 | 9 | SUPER JOY | 6.2% | 16.07 | 7 |
| 6 | 11 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 5.7% | 17.41 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | CHATEAU LE PECHE | 4.5% | 22.10 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | VULCANUS | 3.8% | 26.55 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | GALE SAGA | 3.0% | 32.83 | 1 |
| 10 | 5 | VERBIER | 2.8% | 35.93 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 2.6% | 37.84 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | MERCHANT PRINCE | 2.6% | 37.99 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 171.5
PLACE
1 43.5
6 18.5
12 11
QUINELLA
1,12 136
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 118
1,12 57
6,12 28.5
FORECAST
1,12 471
TIERCE
1,12,6 2,691
TRIO
1,6,12 280
FIRST 4
1,5,6,12 1,178
QUARTET
1,12,6,5 40,081
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/1 388.5
3/12 10.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,9/1,6,12 6,992