Sha Tin · 2024-09-15
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-15 was Class 4 over 1400m. TEAM HAPPY, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-1/2, with MIGHTY STRENGTH second and ENJOY GOLF third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.8 favourite AEROINVINCIBLE finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | TEAM HAPPY Closed strongly B 1.21.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 12 | 41.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | MIGHTY STRENGTH Closed strongly XB A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 11 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | ENJOY GOLF Closed strongly H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 10 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | ONLY U Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 2 | 38.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | AEROINVINCIBLE H-/SR/TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 4 | 1.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | COMING PATCH Closed strongly C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 1 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | JOLLY COMPANION Led early CP/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 26.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | HANDSOME BOMB TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 9 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | ORIENTAL TYCOON P- M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 3 | 97.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | VANTASTIC CHOICE M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 6 | 14.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | MEANINGFUL DRAGON CP-/B1 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 69.0 | 29 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | AEROINVINCIBLE | 25.1% | 3.99 | 6 |
| 2 | 1 | ENJOY GOLF | 17.4% | 5.76 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | HANDSOME BOMB | 10.0% | 10.01 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | COMING PATCH | 7.5% | 13.27 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | ONLY U | 7.3% | 13.70 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | STRONGEST BOY | 7.0% | 14.32 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | MEANINGFUL DRAGON | 6.1% | 16.42 | 12 |
| 8 | 10 | VANTASTIC CHOICE | 5.6% | 17.84 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | JOLLY COMPANION | 5.2% | 19.40 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | MIGHTY STRENGTH | 5.2% | 19.42 | 2 |
| 11 | 12 | TEAM HAPPY | 2.9% | 34.56 | 1 |
| 12 | 4 | ORIENTAL TYCOON | 0.8% | 121.32 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 414
PLACE
1 16.5
6 30.5
12 87.5
QUINELLA
6,12 3,178
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 84
1,12 262.5
6,12 667.5
FORECAST
12,6 5,177
TIERCE
12,6,1 29,455
TRIO
1,6,12 3,483
FIRST 4
1,6,7,12 6,424
QUARTET
12,6,1,7 176,174
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
4/13/6 173
4/13/12 5,183
4TH DOUBLE
13/6 102.5
13/12 2,632