Sha Tin · 2024-09-15
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-15 was Class 3 over 1200m. SUPER WIN DRAGON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by N, with CAPITAL DELIGHT second and TALENTS AMBITION third. The 3.6 favourite TALENTS AMBITION finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SUPER WIN DRAGON V/TT 1.08.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 7.5 | N |
| 2 | 1 | CAPITAL DELIGHT TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 6.5 | N |
| 3 | 5 | TALENTS AMBITION B/XB H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 10 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | SELF IMPROVEMENT B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 11 | 4.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | PACKING BOLE TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 2 | 4.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | VIVA CHALEUR PC M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 3 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | MAJESTIC COLOUR B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 9 | 69.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | GOR MO TUEN TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 8 | 80.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | MAGNIAC V/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 1 | 27.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | UNPRESUMING B-/PC1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 21.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | NATURAL HIGH P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 12 | 56.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | I AM THE BOSS CP/XB M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 7 | 83.0 | 13-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | TALENTS AMBITION | 25.3% | 3.95 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 19.1% | 5.24 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 16.8% | 5.95 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | PACKING BOLE | 9.7% | 10.33 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 8.9% | 11.24 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | UNPRESUMING | 6.6% | 15.20 | 10 |
| 7 | 7 | VIVA CHALEUR | 4.2% | 23.65 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | MAGNIAC | 3.1% | 32.13 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | I AM THE BOSS | 2.6% | 38.83 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | MAJESTIC COLOUR | 2.1% | 48.13 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | GOR MO TUEN | 0.9% | 106.10 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | NATURAL HIGH | 0.7% | 148.57 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 75.5
PLACE
1 20
5 14
6 21.5
QUINELLA
1,6 189
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 45
1,6 59.5
5,6 51
FORECAST
6,1 431
TIERCE
6,1,5 1,540
TRIO
1,5,6 202
FIRST 4
1,4,5,6 170
QUARTET
6,1,5,4 5,282
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,8/1,5,6 73,770
7TH DOUBLE
4/1 78
4/6 302.5