Sha Tin · 2024-10-01 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | THE KHAN Closed strongly H-/SR 1.22.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 7 | 6.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | JOYFUL LIFE TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 4.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 4 | 6.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | FIRE BALL CP Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 3 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | YOUTH POWER Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 42.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | AROMATICA TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 5 | 3.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | RED MAVERICK Led early L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 1 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | NOBLE WIN Closed strongly E-/XB/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 8 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | ALWAYS AWESOME Closed strongly V1 P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 9 | 77.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | LINK CP/XB/TT2 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 6 | 15.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | TSUEN WAN GLORY TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 10 | 11.0 | 11-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-01 was Class 5 over 1400m. THE KHAN, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by 1/2, with JOYFUL LIFE second and MEDIC ELITE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite AROMATICA finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | AROMATICA | 28.5% | 3.51 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | THE KHAN | 15.1% | 6.61 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | JOYFUL LIFE | 15.0% | 6.67 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | MEDIC ELITE | 9.0% | 11.15 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | NOBLE WIN | 8.8% | 11.36 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 7.9% | 12.73 | 11 |
| 7 | 6 | ALWAYS AWESOME | 4.2% | 23.94 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | YOUTH POWER | 3.6% | 27.50 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | RED MAVERICK | 3.2% | 30.82 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | FIRE BALL | 2.5% | 40.57 | 4 |
| 11 | 1 | LINK | 2.2% | 44.92 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 61.5
PLACE
2 15
5 20.5
9 21.5
QUINELLA
2,5 135.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 48.5
2,9 55
5,9 62
FORECAST
5,2 362
TIERCE
5,2,9 1,432
TRIO
2,5,9 258
FIRST 4
2,5,8,9 826
QUARTET
5,2,9,8 12,553