Sha Tin · 2024-10-01 · 09:20
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-01 was Class 3 over 1200m. PACKING POWER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by 1, with GLORY ELITE second and MY WISH third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | PACKING POWER TT 1.09.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 2.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | GLORY ELITE H K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 9 | 7.9 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | MY WISH L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 4 | 4.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS CP B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 2 | 6.2 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | KAHOLO ANGEL TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 5 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | STELLAR EXPRESS H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 6.7 | 7-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | MOTOMAN B/TT P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 1 | 23.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | HARMONY FIRE SR-/CP2/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 3 | 62.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | HASTEN DELIGHT B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 26.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 58.0 | 9-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | PACKING POWER | 23.9% | 4.19 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | GLORY ELITE | 22.1% | 4.52 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | STELLAR EXPRESS | 14.7% | 6.82 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS | 10.8% | 9.28 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | MY WISH | 9.5% | 10.48 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 6.5% | 15.50 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | HASTEN DELIGHT | 6.4% | 15.67 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | HARMONY FIRE | 2.4% | 41.10 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | MOTOMAN | 2.2% | 46.27 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 1.6% | 62.58 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 25.5
PLACE
6 20
7 13.5
9 15.5
QUINELLA
6,7 105
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 38
6,9 60.5
7,9 26
FORECAST
7,6 125
TIERCE
7,6,9 565
TRIO
6,7,9 147
FIRST 4
4,6,7,9 141
QUARTET
7,6,9,4 1,647
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
4/6 179
4/7 586