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Sha Tin · 2024-10-01 · 15:03

Race 5

Class 4 1400m Course C+3 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.96
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 13 VIEW OF THE WORLD Closed strongly TT1 1.21.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C H Yip 11 9.1 1/2
2 11 JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly PC-/XB-/TT2 K Teetan · D Eustace 1 6.0 1/2
3 5 YUEN LONG ELITE Closed strongly M L Yeung · K L Man 2 7.6 3/4
4 4 ALL RICHES V K C Leung · P F Yiu 9 4.7 1
5 12 TEAM HAPPY Led early B Y L Chung · P C Ng 13 7.5 2
6 8 SIXTH GENERATION Closed strongly V/TT C Y Ho · J Richards 5 15.0 2
7 1 ENJOY GOLF H Bowman · F C Lor 3 4.9 3-1/4
8 9 MAJESTIC SPEED Closed strongly CP/TT K H Chan · C S Shum 4 62.0 3-1/2
9 3 I AM THE BOSS Closed strongly CP/XB L Hewitson · K W Lui 8 109.0 4
10 10 CHARITY FOR ALL TT B Avdulla · C S Shum 6 29.0 4
11 6 AMAZING DUCK CP M F Poon · K H Ting 12 9.9 5-1/2
12 7 RED ACLAIM TT A Atzeni · J Size 7 58.0 5-1/2
13 2 GOR MO TUEN TT C L Chau · D A Hayes 10 67.0 7-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-01 was Class 4 over 1400m. VIEW OF THE WORLD, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C H Yip, won by 1/2, with JUMBO FORTUNE second and YUEN LONG ELITE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite ALL RICHES finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. VIEW OF THE WORLD—2. JUMBO FORTUNE+0.5L3. YUEN LONG ELITE+0.75L4. ALL RICHES+1L5. TEAM HAPPY+2L6. SIXTH GENERATION+2L7. ENJOY GOLF+3.25L8. MAJESTIC SPEED+3.5L9. I AM THE BOSS+4L10. CHARITY FOR ALL+4L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick ENJOY GOLF (29.9%) finished 7th — the winner VIEW OF THE WORLD was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 ENJOY GOLF 29.9% 3.35 7
2 11 JUMBO FORTUNE 16.8% 5.95 2
3 12 TEAM HAPPY 14.8% 6.74 5
4 4 ALL RICHES 8.2% 12.25 4
5 13 VIEW OF THE WORLD 6.7% 14.99 1
6 5 YUEN LONG ELITE 6.1% 16.27 3
7 8 SIXTH GENERATION 5.3% 18.80 6
8 6 AMAZING DUCK 4.9% 20.31 11
9 10 CHARITY FOR ALL 2.2% 44.53 10
10 3 I AM THE BOSS 1.4% 72.50 9
11 9 MAJESTIC SPEED 1.3% 74.96 8
12 7 RED ACLAIM 1.2% 86.17 12
13 2 GOR MO TUEN 1.1% 87.27 13
ENJOY GOLFJUMBO FORTUNETEAM HAPPYALL RICHESVIEW OF THE WORLD — wonYUEN LONG ELITESIXTH GENERATIONAMAZING DUCKCHARITY FOR ALLI AM THE BOSSMAJESTIC SPEEDRED ACLAIMGOR MO TUEN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 91

PLACE

5 26

11 21

13 32

QUINELLA

11,13 284.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,11 75

5,13 129

11,13 101.5

FORECAST

13,11 555

TIERCE

13,11,5 3,624

TRIO

5,11,13 660

FIRST 4

4,5,11,13 829

QUARTET

13,11,5,4 20,526

All pools (2 more)

1ST TREBLE

8/2/11 76

8/2/13 861

4TH DOUBLE

2/11 17.5

2/13 198