Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2024-10-01 · 07:05

Race 5

Class 4 1400m Course C+3 13 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-01 was Class 4 over 1400m. VIEW OF THE WORLD, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C H Yip, won by 1/2, with JUMBO FORTUNE second and YUEN LONG ELITE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite ALL RICHES finished 4th.

Result

Official · 1.21.96
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 13 VIEW OF THE WORLD Closed strongly TT1 1.21.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C H Yip 11 9.1 1/2
2 11 JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly PC-/XB-/TT2 K Teetan · D Eustace 1 6.0 1/2
3 5 YUEN LONG ELITE Closed strongly M L Yeung · K L Man 2 7.6 3/4
4 4 ALL RICHES V K C Leung · P F Yiu 9 4.7 1
5 12 TEAM HAPPY Led early B Y L Chung · P C Ng 13 7.5 2
6 8 SIXTH GENERATION Closed strongly V/TT C Y Ho · J Richards 5 15.0 2
7 1 ENJOY GOLF H Bowman · F C Lor 3 4.9 3-1/4
8 9 MAJESTIC SPEED Closed strongly CP/TT K H Chan · C S Shum 4 62.0 3-1/2
9 3 I AM THE BOSS Closed strongly CP/XB L Hewitson · K W Lui 8 109.0 4
10 10 CHARITY FOR ALL TT B Avdulla · C S Shum 6 29.0 4
11 6 AMAZING DUCK CP M F Poon · K H Ting 12 9.9 5-1/2
12 7 RED ACLAIM TT A Atzeni · J Size 7 58.0 5-1/2
13 2 GOR MO TUEN TT C L Chau · D A Hayes 10 67.0 7-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. VIEW OF THE WORLD2. JUMBO FORTUNE+0.5L3. YUEN LONG ELITE+0.75L4. ALL RICHES+1L5. TEAM HAPPY+2L6. SIXTH GENERATION+2L7. ENJOY GOLF+3.25L8. MAJESTIC SPEED+3.5L9. I AM THE BOSS+4L10. CHARITY FOR ALL+4L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick ENJOY GOLF (29.9%) finished 7th — the winner VIEW OF THE WORLD was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 ENJOY GOLF 29.9% 3.35 7
2 11 JUMBO FORTUNE 16.8% 5.95 2
3 12 TEAM HAPPY 14.8% 6.74 5
4 4 ALL RICHES 8.2% 12.25 4
5 13 VIEW OF THE WORLD 6.7% 14.99 1
6 5 YUEN LONG ELITE 6.1% 16.27 3
7 8 SIXTH GENERATION 5.3% 18.80 6
8 6 AMAZING DUCK 4.9% 20.31 11
9 10 CHARITY FOR ALL 2.2% 44.53 10
10 3 I AM THE BOSS 1.4% 72.50 9
11 9 MAJESTIC SPEED 1.3% 74.96 8
12 7 RED ACLAIM 1.2% 86.17 12
13 2 GOR MO TUEN 1.1% 87.27 13
ENJOY GOLFJUMBO FORTUNETEAM HAPPYALL RICHESVIEW OF THE WORLD — wonYUEN LONG ELITESIXTH GENERATIONAMAZING DUCKCHARITY FOR ALLI AM THE BOSSMAJESTIC SPEEDRED ACLAIMGOR MO TUEN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 91

PLACE

5 26

11 21

13 32

QUINELLA

11,13 284.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,11 75

5,13 129

11,13 101.5

FORECAST

13,11 555

TIERCE

13,11,5 3,624

TRIO

5,11,13 660

FIRST 4

4,5,11,13 829

QUARTET

13,11,5,4 20,526

All pools (2 more)

1ST TREBLE

8/2/11 76

8/2/13 861

4TH DOUBLE

2/11 17.5

2/13 198