Sha Tin · 2024-10-01 · 08:50
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-01 was Class 2 over 1400m. DROMBEG BANNER, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P C Ng, won by HD, with PATCH OF THETA second and SUNLIGHT POWER third. The winner led throughout. The 2.1 favourite SUNLIGHT POWER finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DROMBEG BANNER Wire to wire 1.21.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 21.0 | HD |
| 2 | 5 | PATCH OF THETA Closed strongly XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 2.8 | HD |
| 3 | 8 | SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly CP/H C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 2 | 2.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | DANCING CODE Closed strongly B-/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 6 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | SUPERB BOY TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | OUTGATE Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | COPARTNER PRANCE XB Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 1 | 9.3 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | HELENE FEELING Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 8 | 36.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | KEEFY K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 38.0 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 29.2% | 3.43 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 20.9% | 4.79 | 7 |
| 3 | 5 | PATCH OF THETA | 18.7% | 5.36 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | SUPERB BOY | 7.3% | 13.63 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | OUTGATE | 7.0% | 14.20 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | HELENE FEELING | 6.8% | 14.62 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | DROMBEG BANNER | 4.1% | 24.26 | 1 |
| 8 | 7 | DANCING CODE | 3.9% | 25.61 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | KEEFY | 2.0% | 49.64 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 215.5
PLACE
4 39.5
5 12
8 10.1
QUINELLA
4,5 271
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 70.5
4,8 59.5
5,8 14.5
FORECAST
4,5 664
TIERCE
4,5,8 1,399
TRIO
4,5,8 106
FIRST 4
4,5,7,8 191
QUARTET
4,5,8,7 7,054
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4>2,6,8/4,5,8 2,574
7TH DOUBLE
2,6/4 358
2,6/5 14