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Sha Tin · 2024-10-01 · 16:46

Race 8

Class 2 1400m Course C+3 9 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.41
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 DROMBEG BANNER Wire to wire 1.21.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P C Ng 3 21.0 HD
2 5 PATCH OF THETA Closed strongly XB C Y Ho · K W Lui 4 2.8 HD
3 8 SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly CP/H C L Chau · P F Yiu 2 2.1 1-1/4
4 7 DANCING CODE Closed strongly B-/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes 6 11.0 2-1/2
5 9 SUPERB BOY TT L Hewitson · K W Lui 5 23.0 3-1/4
6 3 OUTGATE Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 7 24.0 4
7 1 COPARTNER PRANCE XB Z Purton · K W Lui 1 9.3 4
8 2 HELENE FEELING Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum 8 36.0 4-1/4
9 6 KEEFY K C Leung · F C Lor 9 38.0 7

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-01 was Class 2 over 1400m. DROMBEG BANNER, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P C Ng, won by HD, with PATCH OF THETA second and SUNLIGHT POWER third. The winner led throughout. The 2.1 favourite SUNLIGHT POWER finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DROMBEG BANNER—2. PATCH OF THETA+0.2L3. SUNLIGHT POWER+1.25L4. DANCING CODE+2.5L5. SUPERB BOY+3.25L6. OUTGATE+4L7. COPARTNER PRANCE+4L8. HELENE FEELING+4.25L9. KEEFY+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SUNLIGHT POWER (29.2%) finished 3rd — the winner DROMBEG BANNER was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 SUNLIGHT POWER 29.2% 3.43 3
2 1 COPARTNER PRANCE 20.9% 4.79 7
3 5 PATCH OF THETA 18.7% 5.36 2
4 9 SUPERB BOY 7.3% 13.63 5
5 3 OUTGATE 7.0% 14.20 6
6 2 HELENE FEELING 6.8% 14.62 8
7 4 DROMBEG BANNER 4.1% 24.26 1
8 7 DANCING CODE 3.9% 25.61 4
9 6 KEEFY 2.0% 49.64 9
SUNLIGHT POWERCOPARTNER PRANCEPATCH OF THETASUPERB BOYOUTGATEHELENE FEELINGDROMBEG BANNER — wonDANCING CODEKEEFY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 215.5

PLACE

4 39.5

5 12

8 10.1

QUINELLA

4,5 271

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 70.5

4,8 59.5

5,8 14.5

FORECAST

4,5 664

TIERCE

4,5,8 1,399

TRIO

4,5,8 106

FIRST 4

4,5,7,8 191

QUARTET

4,5,8,7 7,054

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

4>2,6,8/4,5,8 2,574

7TH DOUBLE

2,6/4 358

2,6/5 14