Sha Tin · 2024-10-06 · 13:31
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | YOUNG HORIZON Closed strongly CP 1.22.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 2.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | YODA'S CHOICE Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 1 | 7.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | SUPER ELITE Closed strongly B/H/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 11 | 8.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | VERBIER B A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 9 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | CERVIN TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 5 | 22.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | LADY BILLIE P-/H M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 3 | 112.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | ISLAND GOLDEN Led early TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 8.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | GALLANT GOODY XB A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 2 | 9.5 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | SUPER CHARIZZARD Closed strongly P L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 6 | 9.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | EXCELLENT DADDY CP2/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 67.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | TELECOM BULLET B-/SR1/TT- K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 7 | 69.0 | 11-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-06 was Class 5 over 1400m. YOUNG HORIZON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 3/4, with YODA'S CHOICE second and SUPER ELITE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | YOUNG HORIZON | 20.7% | 4.82 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | SUPER ELITE | 18.4% | 5.45 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | VERBIER | 10.9% | 9.19 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 10.2% | 9.82 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | YODA'S CHOICE | 9.6% | 10.40 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | SUPER CHARIZZARD | 9.1% | 10.94 | 9 |
| 7 | 9 | GALLANT GOODY | 8.3% | 11.99 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | CERVIN | 4.1% | 24.68 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | LADY BILLIE | 3.1% | 31.80 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 3.1% | 32.42 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | TELECOM BULLET | 2.5% | 40.40 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 21
PLACE
1 19.5
2 13
4 27.5
QUINELLA
1,2 79.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 35
1,4 87
2,4 42
FORECAST
2,1 104
TIERCE
2,1,4 685
TRIO
1,2,4 208
FIRST 4
1,2,4,6 295
QUARTET
2,1,4,6 3,031
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/1 41
1/2 63.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,4/1,2,4 8,139