Sha Tin · 2024-10-06 · 09:55
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-06 was Class 2 over 1650m. SWORD POINT, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by 3-3/4, with ADEFILL second and TURIN MASCOT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite ADEFILL finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SWORD POINT Closed strongly CP 1.37.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | ADEFILL Closed strongly B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 10 | 4.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | TURIN MASCOT Closed strongly PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 9 | 8.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | TELECOM FIGHTERS P N Wong · Y S Tsui | P N Wong | Y S Tsui | 13 | 42.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | CHILL CHIBI Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 7 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | APACHE PASS BO-/XB-/CP1/TT1 A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 5 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | RED HARE KING TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 9.6 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | CAPITAL DELIGHT Closed strongly TT B Thompson · C Fownes | B Thompson | C Fownes | 3 | 6.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | BERLIN TANGO B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 1 | 12.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | KA YING GENERATION Closed strongly PC Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 11 | 8.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | THE BEST PEACH TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 39.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Led early B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 8 | 22.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 1 | MOMENTS IN TIME TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 12 | 14.0 | 51-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 16.4% | 6.10 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 14.2% | 7.04 | 13 |
| 3 | 7 | CHILL CHIBI | 10.2% | 9.79 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | ADEFILL | 8.4% | 11.87 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | RED HARE KING | 8.1% | 12.27 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | KA YING GENERATION | 8.0% | 12.54 | 10 |
| 7 | 12 | APACHE PASS | 7.6% | 13.21 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | BERLIN TANGO | 7.0% | 14.23 | 9 |
| 9 | 13 | TURIN MASCOT | 6.7% | 14.83 | 3 |
| 10 | 6 | THE BEST PEACH | 4.9% | 20.25 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | SWORD POINT | 3.4% | 29.24 | 1 |
| 12 | 3 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 2.6% | 38.43 | 12 |
| 13 | 4 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 2.3% | 42.88 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 141
PLACE
2 54
5 19
13 27.5
QUINELLA
2,5 484.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 174
2,13 214.5
5,13 75
FORECAST
2,5 899
TIERCE
2,5,13 7,350
TRIO
2,5,13 1,231
FIRST 4
2,4,5,13 9,847
QUARTET
2,5,13,4 274,544
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
5/6/2 4,516
5/6/5 141
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,6/2,5,13 14,578
9TH DOUBLE
6/2 1,144
6/5 44.5
SIX UP
1/2/6/5/6/2 1,501,428
1,5/2,7/4,6/5,11/1,6/2,5 4,231
2 [H Bowman] —
14 [F C Lor] —