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Sha Tin · 2024-10-06 · 16:25

Race 7

Class 3 1000m Course A 14 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-06 was Class 3 over 1000m. ALPHA ONE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W K Mo, won by SH, with CELESTIAL COLOURS second and FAST NETWORK third. The 1.7 favourite FAST NETWORK finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 0.56.43
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 ALPHA ONE H/TT 0.56.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W K Mo 4 15.0 SH
2 4 CELESTIAL COLOURS V/TT H Bowman · J Richards 13 8.2 SH
3 7 FAST NETWORK TT Z Purton · C H Yip 11 1.7 3/4
4 13 CHEVAL VALIANT B/TT P N Wong · D J Whyte 2 9.9 3/4
5 1 MIDORI GLORY TT M F Poon · P F Yiu 5 40.0 3/4
6 3 FLYING HIGH TT L Hewitson · W Y So 10 16.0 2
7 12 KA YING CHEER V2/TT1 K Teetan · P C Ng 12 7.2 2-1/4
8 14 ONE FOR ALL B/XB/TT A Badel · M Newnham 3 82.0 3-1/2
9 11 SUMMIT CHEERS B1/TT H Bentley · D J Hall 14 105.0 3-1/2
10 8 DASHING DRAGON B Thompson · D A Hayes 7 155.0 4-1/4
11 5 PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B K C Leung · P F Yiu 8 42.0 4-1/2
12 9 KING PROFIT TT1 M L Yeung · C S Shum 6 32.0 4-1/2
13 2 CARROLL STREET SR-/B2/TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte 9 36.0 4-1/2
14 10 STAR GLOW XB1/TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui 1 120.0 6
0 WE ARE HERO Y L Chung · K L Man

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ALPHA ONE2. CELESTIAL COLOURS+0.1L3. FAST NETWORK+0.75L4. CHEVAL VALIANT+0.75L5. MIDORI GLORY+0.75L6. FLYING HIGH+2L7. KA YING CHEER+2.25L8. ONE FOR ALL+3.5L9. SUMMIT CHEERS+3.5L10. DASHING DRAGON+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick FAST NETWORK (59.9%) finished 3rd — the winner ALPHA ONE was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 FAST NETWORK 59.9% 1.67 3
2 13 CHEVAL VALIANT 8.7% 11.51 4
3 12 KA YING CHEER 4.6% 21.65 7
4 3 FLYING HIGH 4.4% 22.52 6
5 4 CELESTIAL COLOURS 3.2% 31.51 2
6 14 ONE FOR ALL 3.2% 31.66 8
7 10 STAR GLOW 2.9% 34.31 14
8 2 CARROLL STREET 2.7% 36.65 13
9 6 ALPHA ONE 2.4% 41.50 1
10 1 MIDORI GLORY 2.3% 43.89 5
11 5 PLEASANT ENDEAVOR 1.7% 57.97 11
12 9 KING PROFIT 1.6% 63.62 12
13 8 DASHING DRAGON 1.5% 67.87 10
14 11 SUMMIT CHEERS 0.9% 108.60 9
FAST NETWORKCHEVAL VALIANTKA YING CHEERFLYING HIGHCELESTIAL COLOURSONE FOR ALLSTAR GLOWCARROLL STREETALPHA ONE — wonMIDORI GLORYPLEASANT ENDEAVORKING PROFITDASHING DRAGONSUMMIT CHEERS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 158

PLACE

4 19.5

6 39.5

7 10.5

QUINELLA

4,6 520

QUINELLA PLACE

4,6 122.5

4,7 28

6,7 55

FORECAST

6,4 1,310

TIERCE

6,4,7 3,399

TRIO

4,6,7 254

FIRST 4

4,6,7,13 422

QUARTET

6,4,7,13 24,432

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

2/4 41.5

2/6 733.5