Sha Tin · 2024-10-06 · 16:43
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SKY TRUST Closed strongly B-/H/TT 1.21.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 9 | 3.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | LUCKY FIONN Closed strongly B-/CP1/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 7 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | SUGAR BALL Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 2 | 3.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | ONLY U Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 11 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 1 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | MAJESTIC COLOUR Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 8 | 33.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | RUN RUN TIMING Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 4 | 4.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | OMAKASE Led early Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 28.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | MILES AWAY CP1 M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 12 | 44.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | EXUBERANT B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 5 | 74.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | WINNING TURN Closed strongly B/TT P N Wong · P F Yiu | P N Wong | P F Yiu | 3 | 91.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | TRIPLE BLISS CP1 C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 10 | 98.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 7 | SUPER BEN B B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 13 | 205.0 | 9-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-06 was Class 4 over 1400m. SKY TRUST, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-3/4, with LUCKY FIONN second and SUGAR BALL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SKY TRUST | 28.2% | 3.54 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | SUGAR BALL | 25.0% | 4.01 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | RUN RUN TIMING | 13.7% | 7.32 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | ONLY U | 9.1% | 11.03 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | LUCKY FIONN | 5.3% | 18.77 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | MAJESTIC COLOUR | 4.4% | 22.80 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE | 3.7% | 26.68 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | OMAKASE | 3.3% | 30.30 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | EXUBERANT | 2.7% | 36.99 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | MILES AWAY | 1.8% | 54.69 | 9 |
| 11 | 13 | WINNING TURN | 1.5% | 68.84 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | SUPER BEN | 0.7% | 137.56 | 13 |
| 13 | 10 | TRIPLE BLISS | 0.6% | 165.92 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 31.5
PLACE
2 16.5
5 14.5
11 17.5
QUINELLA
5,11 73.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 25.5
2,11 46.5
5,11 30.5
FORECAST
5,11 151
TIERCE
5,11,2 539
TRIO
2,5,11 112
FIRST 4
2,5,6,11 266
QUARTET
5,11,2,6 3,858
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,7/2,5,11 3,303
7TH DOUBLE
6/5 727.5
6/11 200.5