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Sha Tin · 2024-10-06 · 15:10

Race 5

Class 4 1200m Course A 11 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-06 was Class 4 over 1200m. LUCKY EIGHT, ridden by C L Chau and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2, with FUN N FUN TOGETHER second and SOLAR UP third. The 3.1 favourite FUN N FUN TOGETHER finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.09.14
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 LUCKY EIGHT 1.09.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · P F Yiu 3 3.7 2
2 5 FUN N FUN TOGETHER C Y Ho · F C Lor 9 3.1 2
3 8 SOLAR UP H/P/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang 1 99.0 3
4 2 MAJESTIC EXPRESS E H Bowman · J Size 2 3.2 3-1/4
5 9 ROBOT KNIGHT TT P N Wong · P C Ng 4 11.0 3-1/2
6 10 MR GOOD VIBES B K Teetan · D J Hall 5 10.0 4
7 6 GOLD MASTER B1 A Atzeni · K L Man 6 16.0 4-1/2
8 7 QINGYUAN STAR CP1 K C Leung · T P Yung 8 71.0 5-3/4
9 11 LORD OF THE ROSE K De Melo · W Y So 11 171.0 8
10 4 YEAH BUDDY B/TT M L Yeung · W K Mo 7 22.0 11-3/4
11 3 MACANESE MASTER M F Poon · C H Yip 10 118.0 13

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LUCKY EIGHT2. FUN N FUN TOGETHER+2L3. SOLAR UP+3L4. MAJESTIC EXPRESS+3.25L5. ROBOT KNIGHT+3.5L6. MR GOOD VIBES+4L7. GOLD MASTER+4.5L8. QINGYUAN STAR+5.75L9. LORD OF THE ROSE+8L10. YEAH BUDDY+11.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick FUN N FUN TOGETHER (28.6%) finished 2nd — the winner LUCKY EIGHT was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 FUN N FUN TOGETHER 28.6% 3.49 2
2 2 MAJESTIC EXPRESS 21.3% 4.69 4
3 1 LUCKY EIGHT 14.8% 6.75 1
4 10 MR GOOD VIBES 11.7% 8.53 6
5 9 ROBOT KNIGHT 8.8% 11.33 5
6 6 GOLD MASTER 4.1% 24.34 7
7 7 QINGYUAN STAR 3.2% 31.34 8
8 8 SOLAR UP 2.9% 34.86 3
9 4 YEAH BUDDY 2.3% 43.16 10
10 3 MACANESE MASTER 1.3% 76.16 11
11 11 LORD OF THE ROSE 0.9% 111.73 9
FUN N FUN TOGETHERMAJESTIC EXPRESSLUCKY EIGHT — wonMR GOOD VIBESROBOT KNIGHTGOLD MASTERQINGYUAN STARSOLAR UPYEAH BUDDYMACANESE MASTERLORD OF THE ROSE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 37.5

PLACE

1 13

5 14

8 132.5

QUINELLA

1,5 57

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 25

1,8 333.5

5,8 316

FORECAST

1,5 139

TIERCE

1,5,8 3,457

TRIO

1,5,8 872

FIRST 4

1,2,5,8 551

QUARTET

1,5,8,2 10,628

All pools (2 more)

1ST TREBLE

8/5/1 2,663

8/5/5 288

4TH DOUBLE

5/1 442.5

5/5 39