Sha Tin · 2024-10-06 · 14:01
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B 1.39.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 9 | 6.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | HAKKA RADIANCE CP/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 3 | 5.3 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | LUCKY BANNER Led early H/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 5 | 4.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | EXCEL WONGCHOY P-/H/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 1 | 4.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | FLOOF TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 7.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | PALACE PAL V K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 4 | 38.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 23.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | DRAGON STAR XB K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 9.4 | 14-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | BLISSFUL STAR B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 2 | 16.0 | 19-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | U S S CONSTITUTION B-/H1/P1/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 7 | 21.0 | 19-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-06 was Class 4 over 1650m. FOREVER FOLKS, ridden by B Thompson and trained by C W Chang, won by 3/4, with HAKKA RADIANCE second and LUCKY BANNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite LUCKY BANNER finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | LUCKY BANNER | 26.3% | 3.80 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | EXCEL WONGCHOY | 17.1% | 5.84 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 11.0% | 9.05 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | FOREVER FOLKS | 10.0% | 10.00 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | DRAGON STAR | 8.7% | 11.43 | 8 |
| 6 | 1 | FLOOF | 8.6% | 11.69 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | PALACE PAL | 6.3% | 15.81 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | BLISSFUL STAR | 6.3% | 15.93 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | U S S CONSTITUTION | 2.8% | 35.59 | 10 |
| 10 | 4 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 2.8% | 35.89 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 61
PLACE
7 19.5
8 20
9 17.5
QUINELLA
7,8 187.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 65
7,9 47.5
8,9 42.5
FORECAST
8,7 396
TIERCE
8,7,9 1,400
TRIO
7,8,9 213
FIRST 4
6,7,8,9 145
QUARTET
8,7,9,6 4,548
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
2/7 24
2/8 118