Happy Valley · 2024-10-27 · 13:46
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | STURDY RUBY Closed strongly TT 1.40.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 1 | 5.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 23.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | THE AZURE Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 22.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | TRADITION Closed strongly Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 84.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 6 | 41.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | COURIER MAGIC Closed strongly B Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 10 | 3.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | GALLANT CROWN Led early CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 9 | 7.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | STAR LINE B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | CAPITAL LEGEND TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 4 | 3.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | VIVA CHALEUR TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 12 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | I AM THE BOSS CP/XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 11 | 67.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | BRAVE WITNESS CP/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 8 | 14.0 | 17-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-10-27 was Class 4 over 1650m. STURDY RUBY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/4, with VIVA GRACIOUSNESS second and THE AZURE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite COURIER MAGIC finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | STURDY RUBY | 27.8% | 3.59 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 18.2% | 5.49 | 9 |
| 3 | 10 | COURIER MAGIC | 13.8% | 7.25 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | BRAVE WITNESS | 5.7% | 17.67 | 12 |
| 5 | 6 | STAR LINE | 5.4% | 18.51 | 8 |
| 6 | 11 | GALLANT CROWN | 5.3% | 19.01 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 5.1% | 19.50 | 2 |
| 8 | 1 | VIVA CHALEUR | 4.7% | 21.29 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | TRADITION | 4.3% | 23.12 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 4.0% | 24.97 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | THE AZURE | 3.4% | 29.25 | 3 |
| 12 | 3 | I AM THE BOSS | 2.3% | 43.60 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 54
PLACE
4 50
7 18
12 49.5
QUINELLA
4,7 701.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 182
4,12 712
7,12 148.5
FORECAST
7,4 925
TIERCE
7,4,12 13,331
TRIO
4,7,12 3,255
FIRST 4
4,7,8,12 19,518
QUARTET
7,4,12,8 293,589
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
7/4 130.5
7/7 166