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Happy Valley · 2024-10-27 · 13:16

Race 2

Class 3 1800m Course C 9 runners

Result

Official · 1.49.06
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 SHARPEN BRIGHT Closed strongly B 1.49.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D J Hall 7 4.9 NOSE
2 6 RED MAJESTY Led early B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes 1 6.0 NOSE
3 9 WINNING STEPS Closed strongly H/PC M F Poon · P C Ng 2 7.0 1-3/4
4 1 NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes 3 2.1 1-3/4
5 3 ROMANTIC LAOS Closed strongly TT K C Leung · W K Mo 4 11.0 2
6 5 BRIGHT INHERITANCE Closed strongly B A Atzeni · C H Yip 5 28.0 2-3/4
7 4 FORTUNE SUPERSTAR H- B Avdulla · M Newnham 6 11.0 3-1/4
8 2 CALIFORNIA VOCE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 8 59.0 4
9 8 SILVER KING P/TT B Thompson · F C Lor 9 77.0 9-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-10-27 was Class 3 over 1800m. SHARPEN BRIGHT, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Hall, won by NOSE, with RED MAJESTY second and WINNING STEPS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite NOBLE PURSUIT finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SHARPEN BRIGHT—2. RED MAJESTY+0.05L3. WINNING STEPS+1.75L4. NOBLE PURSUIT+1.75L5. ROMANTIC LAOS+2L6. BRIGHT INHERITANCE+2.75L7. FORTUNE SUPERSTAR+3.25L8. CALIFORNIA VOCE+4L9. SILVER KING+9.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick NOBLE PURSUIT (33.3%) finished 4th — the winner SHARPEN BRIGHT was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 NOBLE PURSUIT 33.3% 3.00 4
2 7 SHARPEN BRIGHT 20.4% 4.89 1
3 9 WINNING STEPS 17.6% 5.67 3
4 6 RED MAJESTY 9.3% 10.75 2
5 3 ROMANTIC LAOS 7.0% 14.20 5
6 4 FORTUNE SUPERSTAR 4.9% 20.35 7
7 5 BRIGHT INHERITANCE 4.3% 23.14 6
8 2 CALIFORNIA VOCE 1.9% 52.35 8
9 8 SILVER KING 1.1% 88.57 9
NOBLE PURSUITSHARPEN BRIGHT — wonWINNING STEPSRED MAJESTYROMANTIC LAOSFORTUNE SUPERSTARBRIGHT INHERITANCECALIFORNIA VOCESILVER KING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 49

PLACE

6 18.5

7 13

9 20.5

QUINELLA

6,7 167

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 45

6,9 48.5

7,9 46.5

FORECAST

7,6 268

TIERCE

7,6,9 997

TRIO

6,7,9 230

FIRST 4

1,6,7,9 81

QUARTET

7,6,9,1 2,488

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

5/6 127.5

5/7 391.5

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

4,5,10/6,7,9 29,058