Happy Valley · 2024-10-27 · 08:45
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-10-27 was Class 3 over 1200m. YOUNG EMPEROR, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D Eustace, won by 1/2, with ROMANTIC SON second and RIGHTEOUS ARION third. The 2.5 favourite ROMANTIC SON finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | YOUNG EMPEROR TT1 1.09.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 8 | 42.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | ROMANTIC SON CP1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 1 | 2.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | RIGHTEOUS ARION TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.4 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | CELESTIAL COLOURS V/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 5 | 3.8 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | RISING FROM ASHES B/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 4 | 45.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | BRIGHT DAY K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 31.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | FIND MY LOVE CP2/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 2 | 7.9 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | LUCKY COMBINATION B1 M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | EQUATORIAL H/SR/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 7 | 135.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | STAR GLOW XB/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 167.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | MEGA BONUS V M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 11 | 39.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | REWARD SMILE TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 12 | 10.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ROMANTIC SON | 27.7% | 3.60 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | CELESTIAL COLOURS | 20.0% | 5.00 | 4 |
| 3 | 10 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 15.8% | 6.34 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | FIND MY LOVE | 13.9% | 7.18 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | REWARD SMILE | 5.5% | 18.23 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 | LUCKY COMBINATION | 4.9% | 20.57 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | BRIGHT DAY | 3.7% | 26.81 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | RISING FROM ASHES | 2.9% | 33.96 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | YOUNG EMPEROR | 2.0% | 49.16 | 1 |
| 10 | 12 | MEGA BONUS | 1.6% | 60.64 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | STAR GLOW | 0.9% | 106.20 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | EQUATORIAL | 0.9% | 108.54 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 428
PLACE
7 107
8 12.5
10 18.5
QUINELLA
7,8 735.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 248
7,10 295
8,10 37.5
FORECAST
7,8 2,341
TIERCE
7,8,10 12,863
TRIO
7,8,10 1,434
FIRST 4
2,7,8,10 720
QUARTET
7,8,10,2 36,879
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
9,10,11/7,8,10 596,046
7TH DOUBLE
10/7 11,054
10/8 136.5