Happy Valley · 2024-10-27 · 08:15
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-10-27 was Class 4 over 1000m. HAPPY TANGO, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by Y S Tsui, won by N, with CIRCUIT SEVEN second and SUPER SIXTY third. The 3.7 favourite RUBY SAILING finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | HAPPY TANGO B 0.57.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 16.0 | N |
| 2 | 9 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 7 | 17.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | SUPER SIXTY H1/P1/TT- A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 8 | 24.0 | N |
| 4 | 1 | MODEST GENTLEMAN B H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 4 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | RACINGRACE XB B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 12 | 63.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | RUBY SAILING TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 3 | 3.7 | 1 |
| 7 | 8 | SIGHT HAPPY CP1 K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 11 | 12.0 | 1 |
| 8 | 5 | VICTORYTHIRTYTHREE H/TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 2 | 7.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | MA COMET CP/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 5 | 3.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | GRAND NOVA E H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 1 | 5.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | BULB EMPEROR B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 10 | 35.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 3 | KOKUSHI MUSOU B2/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 9 | 75.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | COLOURFUL PRINCE L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GRAND NOVA | 27.9% | 3.59 | 10 |
| 2 | 5 | VICTORYTHIRTYTHREE | 15.6% | 6.41 | 8 |
| 3 | 2 | MA COMET | 15.5% | 6.46 | 9 |
| 4 | 12 | RUBY SAILING | 9.5% | 10.54 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 9.4% | 10.64 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 5.6% | 17.83 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | SIGHT HAPPY | 3.8% | 26.10 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | HAPPY TANGO | 3.2% | 31.37 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | BULB EMPEROR | 3.0% | 33.82 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | SUPER SIXTY | 2.7% | 36.51 | 3 |
| 11 | 3 | KOKUSHI MUSOU | 2.6% | 37.94 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | RACINGRACE | 1.2% | 81.61 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 164.5
PLACE
9 51
10 46
11 59.5
QUINELLA
9,10 1,096.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 314
9,11 520.5
10,11 423
FORECAST
10,9 2,408
TIERCE
10,9,11 25,545
TRIO
9,10,11 6,493
FIRST 4
1,9,10,11 15,231
QUARTET
10,9,11,1 334,553
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
7/9 201.5
7/10 1,759