Happy Valley · 2024-10-27 · 09:20
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2024-10-27 was Class 3 over 1000m. HORSEPOWER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with ALLGREEKTOME second and ETERNAL FORTUNE third. The 4.0 favourite RED ELEGANCE finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | HORSEPOWER XB1/TT1 0.56.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 5.1 | N |
| 2 | 5 | ALLGREEKTOME TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 12 | 9.3 | N |
| 3 | 6 | ETERNAL FORTUNE TT1 L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 8 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | RED ELEGANCE B M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 6 | 4.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | ATOMIC FORCE XB/TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 1 | 9.9 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | HEALTHY HEALTHY PC/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 4 | 4.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | VICTORY SKY XB1 A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 5 | 75.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS H/SR/TT H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 3 | 6.8 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | FLYING HIGH TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 9 | 60.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | BUNTA BABY B1/TT1 K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 10 | 41.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | HAPPY UNITED PC/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 11 | 18.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | SUMMIT CHEERS B/TT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 2 | 56.0 | 14-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 27.5% | 3.64 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 21.3% | 4.70 | 8 |
| 3 | 10 | HORSEPOWER | 10.4% | 9.62 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | RED ELEGANCE | 10.1% | 9.91 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | ATOMIC FORCE | 9.4% | 10.59 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | HAPPY UNITED | 3.5% | 28.28 | 11 |
| 7 | 1 | FLYING HIGH | 3.3% | 30.16 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | ALLGREEKTOME | 3.2% | 30.90 | 2 |
| 9 | 8 | BUNTA BABY | 3.2% | 31.27 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | VICTORY SKY | 3.0% | 33.33 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | ETERNAL FORTUNE | 2.9% | 34.04 | 3 |
| 12 | 12 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 2.1% | 47.96 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 51.5
PLACE
5 32.5
6 29
10 20.5
QUINELLA
5,10 312
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 229
5,10 120.5
6,10 125
FORECAST
10,5 660
TIERCE
10,5,6 6,373
TRIO
5,6,10 1,369
FIRST 4
4,5,6,10 985
QUARTET
10,5,6,4 27,516
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
7/5 1,989
7/10 4,140