Happy Valley · 2024-11-20 · 19:11
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | TAKE ACTION Closed strongly 1.39.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 3.6 | NOSE |
| 2 | 10 | NINJA DERBY Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 5 | 4.6 | NOSE |
| 3 | 2 | STURDY RUBY Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 10 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | APOLAR FIGHTER Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 2 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | SNOWALOT Closed strongly B B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 8 | 44.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | WINDICATOR FAMILY Closed strongly B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 4 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | DOUBLE WIN XB/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 3 | 5.6 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 6 | 21.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | YODA'S CHOICE CP/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 9 | 13.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | FOOLISH HEART Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 12 | 23.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY Led early TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 7 | 10.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | YEAH BUDDY B-/H/V1/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 11 | 40.0 | 17-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-11-20 was Class 4 over 1650m. TAKE ACTION, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by NOSE, with NINJA DERBY second and STURDY RUBY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | NINJA DERBY | 26.5% | 3.77 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY | 18.4% | 5.45 | 11 |
| 3 | 2 | STURDY RUBY | 10.0% | 9.99 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | TAKE ACTION | 8.3% | 12.05 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 7.2% | 13.82 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | FOOLISH HEART | 6.6% | 15.14 | 10 |
| 7 | 12 | YODA'S CHOICE | 6.1% | 16.35 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | DOUBLE WIN | 5.4% | 18.49 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 4.4% | 22.49 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 2.9% | 34.15 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | YEAH BUDDY | 2.1% | 48.22 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | SNOWALOT | 2.0% | 50.24 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 36
PLACE
2 30.5
10 17.5
11 16.5
QUINELLA
10,11 92.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 77.5
2,11 72.5
10,11 40
FORECAST
11,10 184
TIERCE
11,10,2 1,016
TRIO
2,10,11 259
FIRST 4
2,4,10,11 514
QUARTET
11,10,2,4 7,954
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
6/10 75
6/11 372.5