Happy Valley · 2024-11-20 · 13:15
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-11-20 was Class 4 over 1200m. YEE CHEONG SPIRIT, ridden by J McDonald and trained by C S Shum, won by 1, with TELECOM DRAGON second and SPICY SO SMART third. The 3.7 favourite FUN N GLORY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT H/XB/TT 1.09.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 9 | 6.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | TELECOM DRAGON TT H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 3 | 4.1 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | SPICY SO SMART V/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 5 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | FUN N GLORY XB B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 4 | 3.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | MIU FA FA CP/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 38.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | SKY SONG TT K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | 12 | 55.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | THE PRIME B/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 2 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | HAYDAY H/XB E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 10 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE CP1 B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 8 | 57.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | MOTOMAN B-/TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 1 | 5.9 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | LUCKY PLANET B/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 11 | 34.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | LOVING VIBES CP/H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 20.0 | 12 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT | 27.0% | 3.70 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | TELECOM DRAGON | 16.2% | 6.16 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | FUN N GLORY | 12.6% | 7.96 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | MOTOMAN | 9.1% | 10.94 | 10 |
| 5 | 7 | LUCKY PLANET | 8.1% | 12.35 | 11 |
| 6 | 11 | SPICY SO SMART | 7.3% | 13.76 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | HAYDAY | 6.9% | 14.48 | 8 |
| 8 | 10 | SKY SONG | 3.5% | 28.75 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | THE PRIME | 3.2% | 31.08 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | LOVING VIBES | 2.7% | 37.04 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE | 1.7% | 57.64 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | MIU FA FA | 1.7% | 60.01 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 63.5
PLACE
4 22.5
5 16
11 31.5
QUINELLA
4,5 120
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 46
4,11 97
5,11 71.5
FORECAST
4,5 226
TIERCE
4,5,11 1,684
TRIO
4,5,11 304
FIRST 4
4,5,9,11 264
QUARTET
4,5,11,9 6,313
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
2/4 102.5
2/5 15