Happy Valley · 2024-11-20 · 21:46
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LOVERO Closed strongly TT 1.39.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 34.0 | SH |
| 2 | 12 | SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 2.8 | — |
| 3 | 6 | ROMANTIC LAOS Closed strongly CP2/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 2 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | I CAN Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 1 | 4.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | SIMPLY MAVERICK Closed strongly J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 12 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | SILO Closed strongly CP L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 5 | 5.3 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | SOLEIL FIGHTER XB M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 9 | 5.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | APACHE PASS Closed strongly B/TT- A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 4 | 46.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | TOY SOLTERO Closed strongly SR/XB B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 7 | 112.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | SECOND TO NONE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 49.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | TOURBILLON PRINCE TT H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 10 | 47.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | HELENE WARRIOR Led early XB/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 11 | 17.0 | 14-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-11-20 was Class 3 over 1650m. LOVERO, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by SH, with SUPER UNICORN second and ROMANTIC LAOS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite SUPER UNICORN finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SUPER UNICORN | 33.2% | 3.01 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | SILO | 18.7% | 5.36 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | I CAN | 10.9% | 9.15 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 9.5% | 10.49 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | SIMPLY MAVERICK | 5.4% | 18.68 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 5.1% | 19.46 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | SECOND TO NONE | 4.1% | 24.36 | 10 |
| 8 | 1 | HELENE WARRIOR | 3.7% | 26.86 | 12 |
| 9 | 3 | APACHE PASS | 3.5% | 28.86 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | LOVERO | 3.1% | 32.64 | 1 |
| 11 | 5 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 2.1% | 48.20 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | TOY SOLTERO | 0.7% | 138.50 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 345
PLACE
4 76
6 34.5
12 14
QUINELLA
4,12 775
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 295
4,12 221.5
6,12 72.5
FORECAST
4,12 1,677
TIERCE
4,12,6 14,199
TRIO
4,6,12 1,593
FIRST 4
4,6,8,12 1,501
QUARTET
4,12,6,8 49,710
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,11/4,6,12 57,915
6TH DOUBLE
4/4 1,505.5
4/12 36.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,6,10/4,5,11/4,6,12 767,395
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,6,10/4,5,11/Any Combination 312