Happy Valley · 2024-11-27 · 10:45
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-11-27 was Class 5 over 1800m. ME TIME, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1/2, with GO GO GO second and SUNNY BABY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ME TIME Closed strongly CP/TT 1.49.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 3 | 3.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | GO GO GO Closed strongly PC/TT E C W Wong · W Y So | E C W Wong | W Y So | 9 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | SUNNY BABY Closed strongly B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 1 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | RUNNING AHEAD Closed strongly L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 6 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | TURTLE AGAIN Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 2 | 8.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly H M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 4 | 6.1 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | MISTER FOX M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 32.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | CHATEAU LE PECHE B C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 5 | 4.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 8 | 32.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | NOT A FEW Led early P-/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 7 | 9.4 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | TELECOM BULLET CP K De Melo · Y S Tsui | K De Melo | Y S Tsui | 10 | 90.0 | 12-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ME TIME | 30.5% | 3.28 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | HARRY'S HERO | 13.0% | 7.70 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | TURTLE AGAIN | 12.2% | 8.18 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | CHATEAU LE PECHE | 11.8% | 8.50 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | NOT A FEW | 6.6% | 15.19 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | RUNNING AHEAD | 6.4% | 15.52 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | GO GO GO | 6.4% | 15.56 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | SUNNY BABY | 4.4% | 22.72 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | SUPER HONG KONG | 3.9% | 25.53 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | MISTER FOX | 3.6% | 28.02 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | TELECOM BULLET | 1.2% | 82.32 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 30
PLACE
1 14.5
2 37.5
11 52.5
QUINELLA
1,2 251
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 89.5
1,11 97
2,11 383
FORECAST
1,2 337
TIERCE
1,2,11 3,540
TRIO
1,2,11 1,034
FIRST 4
1,2,6,11 2,491
QUARTET
1,2,11,6 40,418