Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2024-11-27 · 18:41

Race 1

Class 5 1800m Course C+3 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.49.02
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 ME TIME Closed strongly CP/TT 1.49.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Whyte 3 3.0 1/2
2 2 GO GO GO Closed strongly PC/TT E C W Wong · W Y So 9 16.0 1/2
3 11 SUNNY BABY Closed strongly B Thompson · D A Hayes 1 25.0 3
4 6 RUNNING AHEAD Closed strongly L Hewitson · T P Yung 6 10.0 3-1/2
5 8 TURTLE AGAIN Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung 2 8.7 3-3/4
6 9 HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly H M Chadwick · P F Yiu 4 6.1 5
7 7 MISTER FOX M F Poon · D J Hall 11 32.0 5
8 5 CHATEAU LE PECHE B C L Chau · K H Ting 5 4.4 5-1/2
9 3 SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B Y L Chung · C H Yip 8 32.0 7-1/4
10 4 NOT A FEW Led early P-/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace 7 9.4 11-1/4
11 10 TELECOM BULLET CP K De Melo · Y S Tsui 10 90.0 12-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-11-27 was Class 5 over 1800m. ME TIME, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1/2, with GO GO GO second and SUNNY BABY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ME TIME—2. GO GO GO+0.5L3. SUNNY BABY+3L4. RUNNING AHEAD+3.5L5. TURTLE AGAIN+3.75L6. HARRY'S HERO+5L7. MISTER FOX+5L8. CHATEAU LE PECHE+5.5L9. SUPER HONG KONG+7.25L10. NOT A FEW+11.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick ME TIME (30.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 ME TIME 30.5% 3.28 1
2 9 HARRY'S HERO 13.0% 7.70 6
3 8 TURTLE AGAIN 12.2% 8.18 5
4 5 CHATEAU LE PECHE 11.8% 8.50 8
5 4 NOT A FEW 6.6% 15.19 10
6 6 RUNNING AHEAD 6.4% 15.52 4
7 2 GO GO GO 6.4% 15.56 2
8 11 SUNNY BABY 4.4% 22.72 3
9 3 SUPER HONG KONG 3.9% 25.53 9
10 7 MISTER FOX 3.6% 28.02 7
11 10 TELECOM BULLET 1.2% 82.32 11
ME TIME — wonHARRY'S HEROTURTLE AGAINCHATEAU LE PECHENOT A FEWRUNNING AHEADGO GO GOSUNNY BABYSUPER HONG KONGMISTER FOXTELECOM BULLET

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 30

PLACE

1 14.5

2 37.5

11 52.5

QUINELLA

1,2 251

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 89.5

1,11 97

2,11 383

FORECAST

1,2 337

TIERCE

1,2,11 3,540

TRIO

1,2,11 1,034

FIRST 4

1,2,6,11 2,491

QUARTET

1,2,11,6 40,418