Happy Valley · 2024-11-27 · 14:25
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-11-27 was Class 3 over 1000m. HEALTHY HEALTHY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P C Ng, won by N, with ETERNAL FORTUNE second and YOUTHFUL SPIRITS third. The 3.4 favourite ALLGREEKTOME finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | HEALTHY HEALTHY PC-/B1/TT 0.56.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 6 | 3.9 | N |
| 2 | 7 | ETERNAL FORTUNE TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 12 | 7.0 | N |
| 3 | 3 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS SR/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 8 | 34.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | ATOMIC FORCE XB/TT H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 10 | 8.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | BUNTA BABY B-/CP1/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 73.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | RED ELEGANCE B M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 2 | 3.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | CHARMING BABE H1/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 102.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | DO YOUR PART H1 A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 3 | 23.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | ALLGREEKTOME TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 1 | 3.4 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | HAPPY UNITED PC/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 5 | 32.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | TURF PHOENIX B1 M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 9 | 70.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 4 | HORSEPOWER Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ALLGREEKTOME | 31.3% | 3.19 | 9 |
| 2 | 2 | RED ELEGANCE | 24.2% | 4.12 | 6 |
| 3 | 11 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 10.4% | 9.60 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | ETERNAL FORTUNE | 10.0% | 10.04 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | ATOMIC FORCE | 8.4% | 11.95 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | HAPPY UNITED | 4.3% | 23.48 | 10 |
| 7 | 3 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 3.9% | 25.70 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | DO YOUR PART | 2.5% | 40.03 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | TURF PHOENIX | 2.2% | 45.02 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | BUNTA BABY | 1.7% | 60.30 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | CHARMING BABE | 1.1% | 88.13 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 39.5
PLACE
3 67.5
7 19.5
11 17
QUINELLA
7,11 144
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 278.5
3,11 205
7,11 48
FORECAST
11,7 292
TIERCE
11,7,3 3,979
TRIO
3,7,11 1,173
FIRST 4
1,3,7,11 1,441
QUARTET
11,7,3,1 26,156
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1/7 105
1/11 394