Happy Valley · 2024-11-27 · 19:41
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly XB 1.41.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 10 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | ATOMIC BEAUTY Closed strongly V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 6 | 5.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | CLASSIC CENTURY Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 6.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | DRAGON DELIGHT B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 4 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | AMAZING AWARD Closed strongly CP/TT B Thompson · D Eustace | B Thompson | D Eustace | 8 | 23.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | SILVER KING H/P/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 35.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | TO INFINITY B/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 1 | 7.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | ESCAPE ROUTE Closed strongly H J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 11 | 7.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | GOLD TACK Closed strongly B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 12 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 1 | HANDSOME BOMB CP/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 9 | 25.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 4 | HAPPY AGAIN Led early B M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 7 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | MILES AWAY CP C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 5 | 20.0 | 9-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-11-27 was Class 4 over 1650m. TURIN WARRIOR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by 1/2, with ATOMIC BEAUTY second and CLASSIC CENTURY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite DRAGON DELIGHT finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 29.0% | 3.45 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | TO INFINITY | 13.5% | 7.42 | 7 |
| 3 | 2 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 9.1% | 11.03 | 8 |
| 4 | 5 | CLASSIC CENTURY | 8.4% | 11.89 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 7.3% | 13.64 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | GOLD TACK | 7.3% | 13.71 | 9 |
| 7 | 6 | TURIN WARRIOR | 6.6% | 15.20 | 1 |
| 8 | 4 | HAPPY AGAIN | 5.6% | 17.84 | 11 |
| 9 | 1 | HANDSOME BOMB | 4.5% | 22.32 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | AMAZING AWARD | 3.3% | 30.70 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | MILES AWAY | 3.2% | 31.31 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | SILVER KING | 2.3% | 42.76 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 169.5
PLACE
5 25.5
6 41.5
7 19.5
QUINELLA
6,7 427.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 194.5
5,7 74
6,7 128.5
FORECAST
6,7 789
TIERCE
6,7,5 7,850
TRIO
5,6,7 1,062
FIRST 4
5,6,7,10 688
QUARTET
6,7,5,10 23,538
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,10,12/5,6,7 151,153
2ND DOUBLE
10/6 1,497.5
10/7 127