Happy Valley · 2024-11-27 · 13:15
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-11-27 was Class 4 over 1200m. GALLANT VALOUR, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Richards, won by HD, with GOLDEN RISE second and VALHALLA third. The 3.8 favourite ROARING BEBE finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GALLANT VALOUR B/TT 1.10.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 7 | 6.8 | HD |
| 2 | 3 | GOLDEN RISE J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 8 | 5.7 | HD |
| 3 | 11 | VALHALLA XB/TT K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | 3 | 26.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | GOOD PROSPECT H/XB C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | ALMIGHTY KICK XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 21.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | ROARING BEBE CP/XB B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 1 | 3.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | KING ECCELLENTE B/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 10 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | NEW POWER H/B1 Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 6 | 5.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | PARTY WARRIOR TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 11 | 59.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | PATCH OF DIAMONDS TT1 M L Yeung · W K Mo | M L Yeung | W K Mo | 4 | 40.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SEA SAPPHIRE PC-/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 9 | 6.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | SO TREASURE P- M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 12 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ROARING BEBE | 29.9% | 3.35 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | NEW POWER | 17.1% | 5.84 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | GALLANT VALOUR | 16.1% | 6.21 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | GOLDEN RISE | 7.1% | 14.14 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | ALMIGHTY KICK | 6.1% | 16.52 | 5 |
| 6 | 11 | VALHALLA | 4.8% | 20.71 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | KING ECCELLENTE | 4.4% | 22.66 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | SEA SAPPHIRE | 4.3% | 23.48 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | SO TREASURE | 4.1% | 24.16 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | PATCH OF DIAMONDS | 2.5% | 39.89 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | PARTY WARRIOR | 2.2% | 45.95 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | GOOD PROSPECT | 1.4% | 69.44 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 68
PLACE
1 20.5
3 21.5
11 57
QUINELLA
1,3 171.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 62
1,11 218.5
3,11 201.5
FORECAST
1,3 379
TIERCE
1,3,11 5,658
TRIO
1,3,11 1,220
FIRST 4
1,3,6,11 4,661
QUARTET
1,3,11,6 61,407
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
5/1 281
5/3 63