Happy Valley · 2024-11-27 · 11:15
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-11-27 was Class 5 over 1000m. PLENTIFUL, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P C Ng, won by 3/4, with HAPPY HORSE second and WIND SPEEDER third. The 4.9 favourite SPEEDY FORTUNE finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PLENTIFUL CP-/XB/TT 0.57.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 7.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | HAPPY HORSE H/P/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 7.6 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | SPEEDY FORTUNE XB1/B2/TT M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 2 | 4.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | CIRCUIT TEN H/P/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 1 | 6.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | MODEST GENTLEMAN B C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 7 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | ACE TALENT H/P/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 11 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | FLYING PHANTOM H Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 7.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | GOODMANSHIP B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 10 | 51.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | GUSTY FIGHTER CP-/H1/PS1/XB1/TT- L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 44.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | DIAMOND SOARS B1/TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 8 | 7.1 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | PHILOS H/B1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 47.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 24.3% | 4.11 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | CIRCUIT TEN | 18.8% | 5.33 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | HAPPY HORSE | 9.1% | 11.04 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER | 8.7% | 11.46 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | PLENTIFUL | 7.7% | 12.97 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | ACE TALENT | 7.6% | 13.13 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 7.5% | 13.32 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | FLYING PHANTOM | 5.1% | 19.49 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | DIAMOND SOARS | 4.3% | 23.01 | 11 |
| 10 | 3 | GUSTY FIGHTER | 2.7% | 37.41 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | PHILOS | 2.1% | 47.50 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | GOODMANSHIP | 2.0% | 49.10 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 74
PLACE
4 32.5
10 26
12 24.5
QUINELLA
4,10 510
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 144.5
4,12 130
10,12 108.5
FORECAST
10,4 859
TIERCE
10,4,12 6,010
TRIO
4,10,12 1,170
FIRST 4
2,4,10,12 984
QUARTET
10,4,12,2 26,241
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/4 41.5
1/10 478.5