Sha Tin · 2024-12-08 · 05:00
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-08 was Class 4 over 1400m. PACKING ANGEL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 2-3/4, with LEGEND ST PAUL'S second and ENDEARED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite LEGEND ST PAUL'S finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | PACKING ANGEL Closed strongly CP-/TT 1.21.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 13 | 8.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | LEGEND ST PAUL'S Closed strongly CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 3.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | ENDEARED Closed strongly XB R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 14 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | MASTER PHOENIX Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · D Eustace | C Y Ho | D Eustace | 1 | 5.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | JUBILANT WINNER Closed strongly CP-/V1/TT B Shinn · J Richards | B Shinn | J Richards | 5 | 9.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | MIGHTY COMMANDER H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 13 | BEAUTIFUL WIN Closed strongly CP1/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 10 | 175.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS B J McDonald · K L Man | J McDonald | K L Man | 2 | 4.1 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | FIGHT TIME Closed strongly B A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 8 | 51.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | PHANTOM CYCLONE CP/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 230.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | BIENVENUE L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 25.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | ISLAND BREEZES B-/PC1 K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 12 | 35.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | MULTIBINGO Led early H1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 267.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | KING SHOW A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 4 | 189.0 | 23 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MASTER PHOENIX | 20.3% | 4.93 | 4 |
| 2 | 12 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 16.9% | 5.93 | 8 |
| 3 | 3 | LEGEND ST PAUL'S | 13.8% | 7.24 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | PACKING ANGEL | 11.0% | 9.11 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | ISLAND BREEZES | 7.5% | 13.33 | 12 |
| 6 | 5 | JUBILANT WINNER | 6.7% | 14.92 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | MIGHTY COMMANDER | 5.8% | 17.20 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | ENDEARED | 5.2% | 19.32 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | BIENVENUE | 3.8% | 26.07 | 11 |
| 10 | 14 | FIGHT TIME | 3.7% | 26.86 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | KING SHOW | 2.7% | 37.01 | 14 |
| 12 | 13 | BEAUTIFUL WIN | 1.1% | 91.79 | 7 |
| 13 | 4 | PHANTOM CYCLONE | 0.8% | 117.67 | 10 |
| 14 | 10 | MULTIBINGO | 0.7% | 149.55 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 84
PLACE
2 31.5
3 15
7 27
QUINELLA
3,7 158.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 69
2,7 136
3,7 58.5
FORECAST
7,3 365
TIERCE
7,3,2 2,447
TRIO
2,3,7 500
FIRST 4
2,3,6,7 760
QUARTET
7,3,2,6 22,155
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
11/3 49
11/7 779
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,11/2,3,7 51,942