Sha Tin · 2024-12-08 · 15:26
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY Closed strongly B/TT 1.47.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 12 | 4.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | PRAY FOR MIR CP M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 7 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | BRAVEHEARTS Closed strongly M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 3 | 7.6 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | SUNSTRIDER Closed strongly B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 6.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | EIGHTEEN CARAT B-/TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 2 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | FAMILY JEWEL Closed strongly TT J McDonald · C Fownes | J McDonald | C Fownes | 5 | 2.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | STAR MAC Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 10 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE Closed strongly B K De Melo · C H Yip | K De Melo | C H Yip | 11 | 130.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | FORTUNATE SON XB/CP1/TT1 B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 6 | 35.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | SIMPLE HEDGE Closed strongly E-/H1 M Barzalona · J Size | M Barzalona | J Size | 8 | 32.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | GOOD LUCK BABE Led early XB/TT L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 9 | 142.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | BEAUTY LIVE B-/V1/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 13 | 65.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | SO WE SING B/TT A Pouchin · C W Chang | A Pouchin | C W Chang | 1 | 62.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 5 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 36.0 | 9-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-08 was Class 3 over 1800m. CALIFORNIATOTALITY, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with PRAY FOR MIR second and BRAVEHEARTS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite FAMILY JEWEL finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FAMILY JEWEL | 38.1% | 2.62 | 6 |
| 2 | 11 | SUNSTRIDER | 15.9% | 6.29 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | BRAVEHEARTS | 10.8% | 9.28 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | PRAY FOR MIR | 6.5% | 15.40 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | STAR MAC | 6.0% | 16.74 | 7 |
| 6 | 10 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 4.6% | 21.78 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | EIGHTEEN CARAT | 3.9% | 25.57 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 3.4% | 29.53 | 10 |
| 9 | 7 | FORTUNATE SON | 3.0% | 33.61 | 9 |
| 10 | 13 | BEAUTY LIVE | 2.5% | 40.73 | 12 |
| 11 | 5 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 2.3% | 43.78 | 14 |
| 12 | 14 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 1.4% | 70.30 | 8 |
| 13 | 2 | SO WE SING | 1.1% | 90.82 | 13 |
| 14 | 12 | GOOD LUCK BABE | 0.6% | 161.85 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 48
PLACE
1 24.5
3 32
10 18.5
QUINELLA
3,10 269
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 116.5
1,10 66.5
3,10 76.5
FORECAST
10,3 477
TIERCE
10,3,1 3,101
TRIO
1,3,10 672
FIRST 4
1,3,10,11 982
QUARTET
10,3,1,11 22,764
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,9,12/1,3,10 10,428
5TH DOUBLE
1/3 36.5
1/10 153.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,4,13/1,9,12/1,3,10 1,505,380
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,4,13/1,9,12/Any Combination 1,001