Sha Tin · 2024-12-08 · 09:30
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-08 was Class 3 over 1400m. MARKWIN, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W K Mo, won by 1-1/4, with CHARMING LEGEND second and BEAUTY CRESCENT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | MARKWIN Closed strongly TT 1.21.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 12 | 2.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | CHARMING LEGEND J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 10 | 4.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | BEAUTY CRESCENT Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 5 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | JOHANNES BRAHMS Closed strongly Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 4 | 5.3 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | TAMRA BLITZ Closed strongly H/SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 132.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | LUCY IN THE SKY H K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | MAGNIFICENT NINE B/E A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 3 | 7.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly V-/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 28.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | SUPER LOVE DRAGON TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 1 | 49.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | BRIGHT DAY Led early B1 H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 6 | 98.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | SWEET BRIAR V/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 37.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | LESLIE B M Barzalona · C W Chang | M Barzalona | C W Chang | 2 | 24.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 14 | HYPER DRAGON BALL V-/H1/TT A Pouchin · T P Yung | A Pouchin | T P Yung | 9 | 156.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | LUCKY COMBINATION B M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 14 | 165.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | JOHANNES BRAHMS | 23.0% | 4.36 | 4 |
| 2 | 13 | MARKWIN | 15.3% | 6.53 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | CHARMING LEGEND | 13.8% | 7.24 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | MAGNIFICENT NINE | 12.0% | 8.35 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | LUCY IN THE SKY | 7.0% | 14.19 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | SUPER LOVE DRAGON | 5.5% | 18.25 | 9 |
| 7 | 9 | LESLIE | 4.9% | 20.39 | 12 |
| 8 | 7 | GALAXY WITNESS | 4.3% | 23.02 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 3.7% | 27.28 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | SWEET BRIAR | 3.3% | 30.61 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | BRIGHT DAY | 3.1% | 32.34 | 10 |
| 12 | 4 | TAMRA BLITZ | 2.1% | 46.55 | 5 |
| 13 | 11 | LUCKY COMBINATION | 1.0% | 97.43 | 14 |
| 14 | 14 | HYPER DRAGON BALL | 1.0% | 103.50 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 28.5
PLACE
5 32
6 17.5
13 13
QUINELLA
6,13 66
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 78
5,13 78
6,13 30.5
FORECAST
13,6 138
TIERCE
13,6,5 1,161
TRIO
5,6,13 292
FIRST 4
3,5,6,13 339
QUARTET
13,6,5,3 8,543
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
1/6 10.5
1/13 58.5