Sha Tin · 2024-12-08 · 18:08
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PACKING HERMOD Closed strongly 1.21.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 10 | 1.8 | N |
| 2 | 12 | RUBYLOT Closed strongly CP2 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 11 | 8.2 | N |
| 3 | 6 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 20.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | DROMBEG BANNER Led early A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 14 | 9.6 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | YOUNG CHAMPION Closed strongly E1 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 7 | 5.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | SING DRAGON A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 2 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | PACKING TREADMILL CP L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 3 | 53.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | FLAMING RABBIT B2/SR2 M Barzalona · D J Whyte | M Barzalona | D J Whyte | 8 | 58.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 1 | 38.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | KEEFY M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 12 | 116.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | SON PAK FU B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 55.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | TELECOM FIGHTERS K De Melo · Y S Tsui | K De Melo | Y S Tsui | 13 | 181.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | HARMONY GREAT TT M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 5 | 199.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 14 | 13 | ALLCASH TT1 A Pouchin · C S Shum | A Pouchin | C S Shum | 4 | 26.0 | 24 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-08 was Class 2 over 1400m. PACKING HERMOD, ridden by J Moreira and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with RUBYLOT second and CHIU CHOW SPIRIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PACKING HERMOD | 45.4% | 2.20 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | SING DRAGON | 9.6% | 10.37 | 6 |
| 3 | 9 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 9.2% | 10.87 | 5 |
| 4 | 12 | RUBYLOT | 7.3% | 13.77 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | DROMBEG BANNER | 4.7% | 21.17 | 4 |
| 6 | 13 | ALLCASH | 3.3% | 30.26 | 14 |
| 7 | 6 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 3.3% | 30.69 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | PACKING TREADMILL | 3.2% | 31.09 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 3.0% | 32.92 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 2.9% | 34.74 | 12 |
| 11 | 14 | KEEFY | 2.8% | 36.01 | 10 |
| 12 | 3 | SON PAK FU | 2.5% | 39.54 | 11 |
| 13 | 8 | FLAMING RABBIT | 2.3% | 43.97 | 8 |
| 14 | 2 | HARMONY GREAT | 0.5% | 218.06 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 18.5
PLACE
6 38
10 11
12 22
QUINELLA
10,12 81
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 62
6,12 183
10,12 33.5
FORECAST
10,12 122
TIERCE
10,12,6 1,069
TRIO
6,10,12 385
FIRST 4
4,6,10,12 451
QUARTET
10,12,6,4 5,263
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
1/13/10 97
1/13/12 74
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,13/6,10,12 8,807
9TH DOUBLE
13/10 96
13/12 69.5
SIX UP
1/10/2/1/13/10 1,856
1,12/3,10/1,2/1,9/6,13/10,12 333
2 [K W Lui] —
1 [J McDonald] —