Sha Tin · 2024-12-08 · 08:05
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-08 was Group 1 over 1600m. VOYAGE BUBBLE, ridden by J McDonald and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with SOUL RUSH second and BEAUTY JOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | VOYAGE BUBBLE Closed strongly CP 1.33.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 5 | 2.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | SOUL RUSH Closed strongly J Moreira · Y Ikee | J Moreira | Y Ikee | 10 | 4.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 13 | 101.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | BEAUTY ETERNAL Led early E1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 6 | 50.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | CHANCHENG GLORY Closed strongly B/XB K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 1 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 14 | 5.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | RED LION H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 12 | 110.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | LAZZAT C Demuro · J Reynier | C Demuro | J Reynier | 7 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | TAJ DRAGON Closed strongly A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 9 | 196.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | ANTINO B B Shinn · T Gollan | B Shinn | T Gollan | 4 | 16.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | DOCKLANDS B/XB M Zahra · H Eustace | M Zahra | H Eustace | 2 | 61.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 12 | JANTAR MANTAR H Y Kawada · T Takano | Y Kawada | T Takano | 8 | 10.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 14 | RAMADAN R Moore · J Ferguson | R Moore | J Ferguson | 3 | 79.0 | 16-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GALAXY PATCH | 26.5% | 3.78 | 7 |
| 2 | 2 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 22.6% | 4.42 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | JANTAR MANTAR | 8.4% | 11.85 | 13 |
| 4 | 4 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 7.0% | 14.38 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | SOUL RUSH | 6.6% | 15.07 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 5.5% | 18.29 | 6 |
| 7 | 14 | RAMADAN | 5.1% | 19.75 | 14 |
| 8 | 9 | RED LION | 4.2% | 23.67 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | ANTINO | 3.2% | 31.39 | 11 |
| 10 | 13 | LAZZAT | 2.7% | 37.23 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | DOCKLANDS | 2.4% | 41.16 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | BEAUTY JOY | 2.1% | 48.53 | 3 |
| 13 | 8 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 2.0% | 49.84 | 5 |
| 14 | 11 | TAJ DRAGON | 1.8% | 56.89 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 26
PLACE
1 16
2 13
5 154.5
QUINELLA
1,2 61
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 26.5
1,5 509
2,5 282
FORECAST
2,1 120
TIERCE
2,1,5 3,992
TRIO
1,2,5 1,300
FIRST 4
1,2,4,5 2,829
QUARTET
2,1,5,4 33,238
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
10/1 77.5
10/2 211