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Sha Tin · 2024-12-08 · 16:03

Race 7

Group 1 1600m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.33.34
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 VOYAGE BUBBLE Closed strongly CP 1.33.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · P F Yiu 5 2.6 1-1/4
2 1 SOUL RUSH Closed strongly J Moreira · Y Ikee 10 4.6 1-1/4
3 5 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 13 101.0 1-3/4
4 4 BEAUTY ETERNAL Led early E1 Z Purton · J Size 11 19.0 2
5 8 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · F C Lor 6 50.0 2-1/4
6 10 CHANCHENG GLORY Closed strongly B/XB K Teetan · K W Lui 1 13.0 2
7 6 GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly C Y Ho · P C Ng 14 5.8 2-1/4
8 9 RED LION H Bowman · J Size 12 110.0 2-1/2
9 13 LAZZAT C Demuro · J Reynier 7 11.0 3-1/4
10 11 TAJ DRAGON Closed strongly A Atzeni · P C Ng 9 196.0 4-3/4
11 3 ANTINO B B Shinn · T Gollan 4 16.0 6
12 7 DOCKLANDS B/XB M Zahra · H Eustace 2 61.0 6
13 12 JANTAR MANTAR H Y Kawada · T Takano 8 10.0 9
14 14 RAMADAN R Moore · J Ferguson 3 79.0 16-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-08 was Group 1 over 1600m. VOYAGE BUBBLE, ridden by J McDonald and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with SOUL RUSH second and BEAUTY JOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. VOYAGE BUBBLE—2. SOUL RUSH+1.25L3. BEAUTY JOY+1.75L4. BEAUTY ETERNAL+2L5. HAPPY TOGETHER+2.25L6. CHANCHENG GLORY+2L7. GALAXY PATCH+2.25L8. RED LION+2.5L9. LAZZAT+3.25L10. TAJ DRAGON+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick GALAXY PATCH (26.5%) finished 7th — the winner VOYAGE BUBBLE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 GALAXY PATCH 26.5% 3.78 7
2 2 VOYAGE BUBBLE 22.6% 4.42 1
3 12 JANTAR MANTAR 8.4% 11.85 13
4 4 BEAUTY ETERNAL 7.0% 14.38 4
5 1 SOUL RUSH 6.6% 15.07 2
6 10 CHANCHENG GLORY 5.5% 18.29 6
7 14 RAMADAN 5.1% 19.75 14
8 9 RED LION 4.2% 23.67 8
9 3 ANTINO 3.2% 31.39 11
10 13 LAZZAT 2.7% 37.23 9
11 7 DOCKLANDS 2.4% 41.16 12
12 5 BEAUTY JOY 2.1% 48.53 3
13 8 HAPPY TOGETHER 2.0% 49.84 5
14 11 TAJ DRAGON 1.8% 56.89 10
GALAXY PATCHVOYAGE BUBBLE — wonJANTAR MANTARBEAUTY ETERNALSOUL RUSHCHANCHENG GLORYRAMADANRED LIONANTINOLAZZATDOCKLANDSBEAUTY JOYHAPPY TOGETHERTAJ DRAGON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 26

PLACE

1 16

2 13

5 154.5

QUINELLA

1,2 61

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 26.5

1,5 509

2,5 282

FORECAST

2,1 120

TIERCE

2,1,5 3,992

TRIO

1,2,5 1,300

FIRST 4

1,2,4,5 2,829

QUARTET

2,1,5,4 33,238

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

10/1 77.5

10/2 211