Sha Tin · 2024-12-15 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER Closed strongly TT 1.21.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 4 | 6.6 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | SO AWESOME Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 2 | 6.3 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | GLUCK RACER Closed strongly H-/B K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 3 | 4.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | PODIUM Closed strongly TT M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 14 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | CHARMANDER Closed strongly V Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 12 | 6.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | GALLANT CROWN CP/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 8 | 9.6 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | DOUBLE SHOW Closed strongly PC-/B2/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 79.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | HOSS B/XB/TT J McDonald · W Y So | J McDonald | W Y So | 5 | 5.8 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | SUNNY SHINES Led early B2/TT M L Yeung · D Eustace | M L Yeung | D Eustace | 6 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | GANGNAM STAR Closed strongly XB A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 10 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | FAMILY FORTUNE Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 13 | 28.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 13 | TELECOM BULLET CP Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 107.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | SUPREME WINNER C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 1 | 78.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 5 | UNIVERSAL BLAZE E-/B/H2/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 28.0 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-15 was Class 5 over 1400m. MANYTHANKS FOREVER, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by W Y So, won by 2, with SO AWESOME second and GLUCK RACER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite GLUCK RACER finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CHARMANDER | 17.2% | 5.83 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 | GLUCK RACER | 14.7% | 6.82 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | SO AWESOME | 13.1% | 7.62 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | HOSS | 10.2% | 9.77 | 8 |
| 5 | 8 | FAMILY FORTUNE | 9.8% | 10.16 | 11 |
| 6 | 3 | GALLANT CROWN | 5.5% | 18.02 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | UNIVERSAL BLAZE | 5.5% | 18.18 | 14 |
| 8 | 12 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER | 5.4% | 18.39 | 1 |
| 9 | 1 | GANGNAM STAR | 5.0% | 20.02 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | PODIUM | 3.8% | 26.19 | 4 |
| 11 | 14 | SUNNY SHINES | 3.2% | 31.44 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | DOUBLE SHOW | 3.2% | 31.47 | 7 |
| 13 | 4 | SUPREME WINNER | 2.1% | 48.13 | 13 |
| 14 | 13 | TELECOM BULLET | 1.2% | 80.06 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 66.5
PLACE
6 17.5
9 18.5
12 24.5
QUINELLA
9,12 214
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 46
6,12 61
9,12 72.5
FORECAST
12,9 441
TIERCE
12,9,6 1,663
TRIO
6,9,12 279
FIRST 4
6,9,10,12 1,710
QUARTET
12,9,6,10 36,941