Sha Tin · 2024-12-15 · 08:15

Race 7

Class 2 1000m Course C+3 10 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-15 was Class 2 over 1000m. STELLAR EXPRESS, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with I GIVE second and JAMES TAK third. The 1.3 favourite FAST NETWORK finished 4th.

Result

Official · 0.55.90

Pos	No.	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	8	STELLAR EXPRESS B 0.55.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size	B Avdulla	J Size	6	121 lb	6.7	1-1/4
2	5	I GIVE J McDonald · P C Ng	J McDonald	P C Ng	5	126 lb	11.0	1-1/4
3	3	JAMES TAK CP/TT C L Chau · T P Yung	C L Chau	T P Yung	7	129 lb	20.0	1-1/4
4	4	FAST NETWORK B/TT Z Purton · C H Yip	Z Purton	C H Yip	2	129 lb	1.3	1-1/4
5	7	HEALTHY HEALTHY B/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng	C Y Ho	P C Ng	8	125 lb	9.5	3
6	1	BUNDLE OF CHARM P- A Badel · J Size	A Badel	J Size	3	135 lb	42.0	4-1/4
7	9	CARROLL STREET V-/CP2/SR2/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte	L Hewitson	D J Whyte	9	119 lb	44.0	6-3/4
8	6	BABY CRYSTAL B/TT A Atzeni · K W Lui	A Atzeni	K W Lui	4	125 lb	59.0	8-3/4
9	2	FANTASTIC TREASURE B/TT P N Wong · D A Hayes	P N Wong	D A Hayes	1	125 lb	65.0	9-1/2
10	10	TURF PHOENIX B M L Yeung · W Y So	M L Yeung	W Y So	10	117 lb	156.0	12-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25

The model's top pick FAST NETWORK (57.0%) finished 4th — the winner STELLAR EXPRESS was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	No.	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	4	FAST NETWORK	57.0%	1.76	4	1.3
2	8	STELLAR EXPRESS	13.0%	7.68	1	6.7
3	7	HEALTHY HEALTHY	9.7%	10.28	5	9.5
4	5	I GIVE	8.9%	11.26	2	11.0
5	2	FANTASTIC TREASURE	2.8%	36.30	9	65.0
6	6	BABY CRYSTAL	2.6%	38.06	8	59.0
7	1	BUNDLE OF CHARM	2.1%	47.65	6	42.0
8	3	JAMES TAK	1.9%	51.59	3	20.0
9	9	CARROLL STREET	1.5%	64.65	7	44.0
10	10	TURF PHOENIX	0.4%	230.72	10	156.0

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 67.5

PLACE

3 28.5

5 23.5

8 14

QUINELLA

5,8 305.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 136

3,8 79

5,8 66.5

FORECAST

8,5 630

TIERCE

8,5,3 3,775

TRIO

3,5,8 718

FIRST 4

3,4,5,8 152

QUARTET

8,5,3,4 9,328

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

4/5 161.5

4/8 262.5

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