Sha Tin · 2024-12-15 · 05:35
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-15 was Class 5 over 1400m. HARRY'S HERO, ridden by A Pouchin and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with FLYING PHANTOM second and THE KHAN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite YODA'S CHOICE finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly H 1.22.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Pouchin · P F Yiu | A Pouchin | P F Yiu | 7 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | FLYING PHANTOM Closed strongly H J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 13 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | THE KHAN Closed strongly SR H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 6 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | RATTAN WORLD Closed strongly PC-/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 4 | 45.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR B-/TT2 A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 1 | 6.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | SUPER CHARIZZARD Closed strongly PC L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 12 | 31.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | YODA'S CHOICE Led early CP/TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 8 | 2.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | MULTIDARLING Closed strongly TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 111.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | LINK Closed strongly BO/XB/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 14 | 37.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 1 | MARIO B B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 2 | 31.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | HIGH RISE POWER Closed strongly CP1/TT- C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 11 | 72.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | TSUEN WAN GLORY TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 10.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | LADY BILLIE H A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 10 | 64.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 5 | AROMATICA TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 3 | 7.5 | 14 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | YODA'S CHOICE | 27.7% | 3.61 | 7 |
| 2 | 11 | HARRY'S HERO | 10.0% | 9.98 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | AROMATICA | 9.7% | 10.36 | 14 |
| 4 | 12 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 9.0% | 11.16 | 12 |
| 5 | 2 | THE KHAN | 7.0% | 14.19 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | SUPER CHARIZZARD | 6.3% | 15.89 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | FLYING PHANTOM | 5.7% | 17.48 | 2 |
| 8 | 14 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 5.1% | 19.51 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | HIGH RISE POWER | 5.0% | 20.00 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | RATTAN WORLD | 4.1% | 24.33 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | MULTIDARLING | 3.7% | 27.01 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | LINK | 2.8% | 35.48 | 9 |
| 13 | 1 | MARIO | 2.4% | 41.88 | 10 |
| 14 | 13 | LADY BILLIE | 1.5% | 68.67 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 142.5
PLACE
2 37
7 34.5
11 36
QUINELLA
7,11 857.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 236.5
2,11 232
7,11 216.5
FORECAST
11,7 1,646
TIERCE
11,7,2 14,888
TRIO
2,7,11 2,739
FIRST 4
2,7,10,11 22,975
QUARTET
11,7,2,10 319,820
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
12/7 221
12/11 694.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,12/2,7,11 175,945