Sha Tin · 2024-12-15 · 15:08
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE Closed strongly 1.34.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 3.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | SOLID WIN TT J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 8 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | FLYING LUCK Closed strongly B/H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 5.5 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | I AM THE BOSS Led early CP/XB A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 12 | 30.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | DEVAS TWELVE Closed strongly CP/TT H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 2 | 7.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | BEAUTY LIVE V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 13 | 52.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | GOLD MASTER Closed strongly B A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 6 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | ORIENTAL SMOKE Closed strongly B/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 10 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS Closed strongly CP/TT- M L Yeung · D Eustace | M L Yeung | D Eustace | 3 | 88.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | YEE CHEONG RAIDER V/TT M F Poon · J Richards | M F Poon | J Richards | 5 | 29.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | VIVA CHALEUR H/PC/TT A Pouchin · P C Ng | A Pouchin | P C Ng | 7 | 39.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 14 | WINDICATOR FAMILY B K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 9 | 46.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 5 | SILVER UP B2 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 14 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | ATOMIC BEAUTY V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 11 | 38.0 | 7 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-15 was Class 4 over 1600m. BEAUTY ALLIANCE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with SOLID WIN second and FLYING LUCK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE | 20.6% | 4.86 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | FLYING LUCK | 17.1% | 5.86 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | SOLID WIN | 11.7% | 8.54 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | DEVAS TWELVE | 8.7% | 11.47 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | SILVER UP | 6.6% | 15.22 | 13 |
| 6 | 12 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 5.7% | 17.57 | 14 |
| 7 | 13 | YEE CHEONG RAIDER | 5.1% | 19.54 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | VIVA CHALEUR | 5.0% | 19.98 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | GOLD MASTER | 4.7% | 21.13 | 7 |
| 10 | 14 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 3.9% | 25.41 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS | 3.3% | 30.25 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | BEAUTY LIVE | 2.7% | 37.28 | 6 |
| 13 | 7 | I AM THE BOSS | 2.6% | 38.96 | 4 |
| 14 | 1 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 2.3% | 43.40 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 37
PLACE
4 19
8 16.5
11 17
QUINELLA
8,11 103
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 51.5
4,11 38.5
8,11 41.5
FORECAST
11,8 198
TIERCE
11,8,4 663
TRIO
4,8,11 140
FIRST 4
4,7,8,11 980
QUARTET
11,8,4,7 14,621
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
1/4/8 217
1/4/11 1,157
4TH DOUBLE
4/8 48
4/11 194.5