Sha Tin · 2024-12-15 · 17:53
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MICKLEY Closed strongly TT1 1.34.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 9 | 5.1 | N |
| 2 | 1 | CAP FERRAT Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 13.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | PACKING TURBINE Closed strongly TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 2 | 4.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | AMAZING VICTORY TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 10 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | SILVERY BREEZE Closed strongly TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 14 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | LO PAN SPIRIT B H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 12 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | SKY TRUST Led early H/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 1 | 4.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | FALLON Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 11 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | DILBAGH XB/SR1 A Pouchin · D J Whyte | A Pouchin | D J Whyte | 5 | 162.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | GOLDEN ARTIE C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 8 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | TOY SOLTERO SR/XB B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 3 | 57.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | LUPO SOLITARIO CP J McDonald · F C Lor | J McDonald | F C Lor | 7 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | STELLAR SWIFT CP/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 6 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 14 | 14 | S J TOURBILLON B-/XB-/TT- M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 13 | 93.0 | 9 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-15 was Class 3 over 1600m. MICKLEY, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Size, won by N, with CAP FERRAT second and PACKING TURBINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite PACKING TURBINE finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SKY TRUST | 15.6% | 6.42 | 7 |
| 2 | 3 | MICKLEY | 11.4% | 8.77 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | LO PAN SPIRIT | 10.8% | 9.23 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | SILVERY BREEZE | 9.7% | 10.26 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | PACKING TURBINE | 9.1% | 10.99 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | FALLON | 7.3% | 13.75 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | LUPO SOLITARIO | 6.6% | 15.19 | 12 |
| 8 | 9 | STELLAR SWIFT | 5.7% | 17.44 | 13 |
| 9 | 12 | TOY SOLTERO | 5.4% | 18.68 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | CAP FERRAT | 5.2% | 19.08 | 2 |
| 11 | 7 | GOLDEN ARTIE | 5.2% | 19.26 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | AMAZING VICTORY | 4.5% | 22.38 | 4 |
| 13 | 14 | S J TOURBILLON | 2.8% | 35.66 | 14 |
| 14 | 13 | DILBAGH | 0.7% | 147.82 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 51
PLACE
1 37.5
3 24.5
11 19
QUINELLA
1,3 336.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 131.5
1,11 104.5
3,11 69
FORECAST
3,1 641
TIERCE
3,1,11 2,248
TRIO
1,3,11 579
FIRST 4
1,3,10,11 2,195
QUARTET
3,1,11,10 46,667
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
5/1/1 2,089
5/1/3 5,529
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,12/1,3,11 6,881
9TH DOUBLE
1/1 59.5
1/3 130.5
SIX UP
8,11/2,4/5,8/4,5/1,12/1,3 45,520
11/4/8/5/1/3 1,539,741
1 [J Size] —
2 [J McDonald] —